“A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” An Introduction to StockPointer© for Investment Advisors Claude Morel Senior Partner EVA© is a registered Trademark of Stern Stewart & Co. Copyright © 2001 StockPointer© © 2000 Arthur Andersen All rights reserved. 2007 Contents “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” The basic Concepts behind StockPointer – – – – EVA Economic Performance Performance Index (EPI) Intrinsic Value Future Growth Value The StockPointer Functions – – – – – SPreport – EVA Executive Summary SPiX – Top 10, 20, 40, 80 or 100 stocks PfScan – Portfolio Analyzer MktScan – Market Analyzer SPfilter – Customized Evaluation Criterion The value of StockPointer for an Investment Professional – Business Development – Account Management – Client Relationship Confidential 2 What is EVA? “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” EVA (Economic Value Added) is a measure that takes the Cost of Capital out of the Net Operating Profit, in order to have a real picture of the financial performance of a company, in face of its shareholders. EVA is an estimate of the true “Economic Profit”, or the amount by which Net Operating Profit After Tax exceeds or falls short of the required minimum rate of return that shareholders and lenders could get by investing in other securities of comparable risk. ''EVA © analysis is at the heart of understanding how companies create shareholder wealth. Most importantly, it helps investors measure and understand those factors that create or destroy value.'‘ Steven Einhorn, Global Investment Research, Goldman, Sachs & Co. Confidential 3 What is StockPointer ? “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” StockPointer© is a Web-based offering which provides key metrics and valuation graphics using the EVA method in order to allow investments managers to rapidly detect stock investment opportunities. “EVA© is today’s hottest financial idea and getting hotter” Fortune magazine Confidential 4 How does StockPointer work? “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Reports & Graphs SPiX –Top 40 5600 US Stocks 1200 Canadian Stocks StockPointer© Intrinsic Value Economic Performance Market Performance Accounting Performance Adjust. NOPAT & CAPITAL Reports Production Financial reports + figures captured in the footnotes Data Management Internet Security & Access Specific Analysis Utilities & Administration Formatting Adjustments to NOPAT et CI Validating Enrichment File server Transmitting Confidential 5 The Enron Case: Difficult to mask EVA compared to Net Income and EPS1 “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” What a customer will like about his Advisor using StockPointer ? Net income showed great Results …while EVA showed not so great 1 Stern Stewart & Co. Confidential 6 EVA change explains market price more significantly than other typical measures1 “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 1 Stern Stewart & Co. Confidential 7 StockPointer key Metrics “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” To invest only in companies that create wealth for the shareholders and are not overvalued by the market Economic Performance Stock Price Evaluation Identify the companies that properly manage their capital in the best interest of their shareholders and generate a return that is higher than expected for a similar level of risk Wealth Creation (or EVA) becomes criteria #1 Insure that stock is not over-priced compared to the company’s Intrinsic Value EVA-$ = NOPAT-$ – Cost of Capital-$ = ROC-$ – COC-$ = (ROC-%-COC-%) x Capital > 0 if and only if ROC > COC Performance Index = ROC / COC Intrinsic Value = NPV of future EVA’s Performance Index > 1 0.4 < P\IV < 2.5 « Better to invest in an economically sound company at the reasonable price than invest in a poor company at a cheap price » Confidential 8 StockPointer key Metrics “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” To align the risk associated with a portfolio with the degree of tolerance that the end-customer is comfortable with Level of risk associated with a stock Adjust the desired level of risk of the overall portfolio using the Future Growth Value (FGV) calculation for each of its stocks FGV = Market Value of Company – Current Operations Value = MV – NPV of future Profits = or < 0 for minimum risk FGV < Acceptable Risk level Other risk factors include: - Sector over-weighting compared to Top-80 - P/IV too good to be true - Profit and EVA going in different directions Confidential 9 StockPointer really works “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” SPiX-Top 100-US vs S&P 500 Confidential 10 StockPointer Functions “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Login/Logout Individual Stock Basic Report SPreport + Portfolio Analyser PDF Printout Feature PfScan Market Analyser MktScan Best Cad/US Stocks SPiX + Excel Export Feature Customize requests SPfilter IV Scenario Building SPiV Confidential 11 Customer Base (Canada) “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” StockPointer is currently a strategic tool for more than 275 investment professionals in Canada Confidential 12 © PfScan - Testimonies “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” “Reviewing his portfolio with my top client (in terms of assets) based on PfScan convinced him of the great intrinsic value of his holdings”, Gilbert, FBN “Portfolio compliancy processes at the branch and firm levels could be much more productive and efficient if PfScan was used throughout the organization”, Bergeron, FBN “PfScan has proven to be a very productive marketing tool in our process of creating and monitoring a portfolio model for our IA’s”, Roy, IAVM Confidential 13 Most recent Testimonies Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 14 Most recent Testimonies Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 15 What will StockPointer do for a Financial Professional? “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Develop a special relationship between you and your client – For any impromptu phone call, the SPreport will instantaneously allow you to have a strong position on any company/stock – The SPreport is the most complete documentation you can give to a customer in regard to any specific stock – The list of Peers in the SPreport allows comparisons with any other comparable company or competitor Business Development & Prospecting – SPiX and SPfilter will help you in the identification of prospect Buys, using a series of your own (or already defined) specific criteria's – PfScan is the best tool to analyze a current prospect portfolio and see the winners/losers amongst the included stocks ….then SPiX, PfScan and MktScan will allow you to make appropriate recommendations, based on the real economic value of a company and on the Market composition and trends Account Management – SPreport, PfScan and MktScan will be of great support in respecting any client compliancy rule Confidential 16 “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Thank You *********************** You can subscribe Now!!! at www.stockpointer.ca User-ID = client Password = synchro © 2000 Arthur Andersen All rights reserved. “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Sample Reports © 2000 Arthur Andersen All rights reserved. A sample standard EVA report from StockPointer - Page 1-A Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 19 A sample standard EVA report from StockPointer - Page 1-B Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 20 A sample standard EVA report from StockPointer - Page 2 Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 21 A sample standard EVA report from StockPointer - Page 3 Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 22 A sample standard EVA report from StockPointer - Page 4 Confidential “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” 23 Analyzing a Portfolio: PfScan© “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Using a standard Portfolio from a customer… Confidential 24 Analyzing a Portfolio: PfScan© “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” …to perform a Portfolio assessment Confidential 25 SectorTrends “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Confidential 26 SectorScan “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Cnd MktScan Indice de Performance Économique (ROC / COC) 2.5 Création de richesse Én. 2.0 Énergie Ser. Matériaux Fin. Moyenne Ind. Tél. TI Risque croissant -19.0% Cons. disc. Mat. Industrie 1.5 Consommation discrétionnaire Consommation de base Cons. base Santé Finance Santé 1.0 -14.0% -9.0% -4.0% 1.0% 6.0% 11.0% Risque décroissant 16.0% Technologie de l'information Télécommunications Services aux collectivités Moyenne 0.5 Destruction de richesse Indice de risque (- FGV / VE) Confidential 27 SPfilter “A GPS in the Stock Market Jungle” Confidential 28
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