STAGE 2 MATHEMATICAL STUDIES FOLIO TASK – STATISTICAL INVESTIGATION OF INTERNET USAGE PATTERNS Topic: Subtopics: Working with Functions and Graphs Using Calculus Subtopic 1.1: Normal Distributions Subtopic 1.5: Binomial Distributions Subtopic 1.6: Testing Claims about a Population Proportion Subtopic 1.7 Confidence Intervals for a Population Proportion A completed investigation should include: an introduction that outlines the problem to be explored, including its significance, its features, and the context the method required to find a solution, in terms of the mathematical model or strategy to be used the appropriate application of the mathematical model or strategy, including – the generation or collection of relevant data and/or information, with details of the process of collection – mathematical calculations and results, and appropriate representations – the analysis and interpretation of results a statement of the results and conclusions in the context of the original problem appendices and a bibliography, as appropriate. Learning Requirements Assessment Design Criteria Capabilities 1. understand fundamental mathematical concepts, demonstrate mathematical skills, and apply routine mathematical procedures 2. use mathematics as a tool to analyse data and other information elicited from the study of situations taken from social, scientific, economic, or historical contexts 3. think mathematically by posing questions/problems, making and testing conjectures, and looking for reasons that explain the results 4. make informed and critical use of electronic technology to provide numerical results and graphical representations 5. communicate mathematically and present mathematical information in a variety of ways 6. work both individually and cooperatively in planning, organising, and carrying out mathematical activities Mathematical Knowledge and Skills and Their Application Communication Page 1 of 4 Learning The specific features are as follows: MKSA1 Knowledge of content and understanding of mathematical concepts and relationships. MKSA2 Use of mathematical algorithms and techniques (implemented electronically where appropriate) to find solutions to routine and complex questions. MKSA3 Application of knowledge and skills to answer questions in applied and theoretical contexts. Mathematical Modelling and Problem-solving The specific features are as follows: MMP1 Application of mathematical models. MMP2 Development of solutions to mathematical problems set in applied and theoretical contexts. MMP3 Interpretation of the mathematical results in the context of the problem. MMP4 Understanding of the reasonableness and possible limitations of the interpreted results and recognition of assumptions made. MMP5 Development and testing of conjectures, with some attempt at proof. Communication of Mathematical Information The specific features are as follows: CMI1 Communication of mathematical ideas and reasoning to develop logical arguments. CMI2 Use of appropriate mathematical notation, representations, and terminology. Stage 2 Mathematics studies annotated task Ref: A153516 (January 2012) © SACE Board of South Australia 2012 Performance Standards for Stage 2 Mathematical Studies A Mathematical Knowledge and Skills and Their Application Mathematical Modelling and Problem-solving Communication of Mathematical Information Comprehensive knowledge of content and understanding of concepts and relationships. Development and effective application of mathematical models. Highly effective communication of mathematical ideas and reasoning to develop logical arguments. Appropriate selection and use of mathematical algorithms and techniques (implemented electronically where appropriate) to find efficient solutions to complex questions. Highly effective and accurate application of knowledge and skills to answer questions set in applied and theoretical contexts. B Some depth of knowledge of content and understanding of concepts and relationships. Use of mathematical algorithms and techniques (implemented electronically where appropriate) to find some correct solutions to complex questions. Accurate application of knowledge and skills to answer questions set in applied and theoretical contexts. Complete, concise, and accurate solutions to mathematical problems set in applied and theoretical contexts. Concise interpretation of the mathematical results in the context of the problem. In-depth understanding of the reasonableness and possible limitations of the interpreted results, and recognition of assumptions made. Proficient and accurate use of appropriate notation, representations, and terminology. Development and testing of valid conjectures, with proof. Attempted development and appropriate application of mathematical models. Mostly accurate and complete solutions to mathematical problems set in applied and theoretical contexts. Complete interpretation of the mathematical results in the context of the problem. Effective communication of mathematical ideas and reasoning to develop mostly logical arguments. Mostly accurate use of appropriate notation, representations, and terminology. Some depth of understanding of the reasonableness and possible limitations of the interpreted results, and recognition of assumptions made. Development and testing of reasonable conjectures, with substantial attempt at proof. C Generally competent knowledge of content and understanding of concepts and relationships. Use of mathematical algorithms and techniques (implemented electronically where appropriate) to find mostly correct solutions to routine questions. Generally accurate application of knowledge and skills to answer questions set in applied and theoretical contexts. D E Basic knowledge of content and some understanding of concepts and relationships. Appropriate application of mathematical models. Some accurate and generally complete solutions to mathematical problems set in applied and theoretical contexts. Generally appropriate interpretation of the mathematical results in the context of the problem. Some understanding of the reasonableness and possible limitations of the interpreted results, and some recognition of assumptions made. Application of a mathematical model, with partial effectiveness. Partly accurate and generally incomplete solutions to mathematical problems set in applied or theoretical contexts. Attempted interpretation of the mathematical results in the context of the problem. Sometimes accurate application of knowledge and skills to answer questions set in applied or theoretical contexts. Attempted development or testing of a reasonable conjecture. Some awareness of the reasonableness and possible limitations of the interpreted results. Limited knowledge of content. Attempted application of a basic mathematical model. Attempted use of mathematical algorithms and techniques (implemented electronically where appropriate) to find limited correct solutions to routine questions. Limited accuracy in solutions to one or more mathematical problems set in applied or theoretical contexts. Page 2 of 4 Use of generally appropriate notation, representations, and terminology, with some inaccuracies. Development and testing of reasonable conjectures, with some attempt at proof. Some use of mathematical algorithms and techniques (implemented electronically where appropriate) to find some correct solutions to routine questions. Attempted application of knowledge and skills to answer questions set in applied or theoretical contexts with limited effectiveness. Appropriate communication of mathematical ideas and reasoning to develop some logical arguments. Limited attempt at interpretation of the mathematical results in the context of the problem. Limited awareness of the reasonableness and possible limitations of the results. Some appropriate communication of mathematical ideas and reasoning. Some attempt to use appropriate notation, representations, and terminology, with occasional accuracy. Attempted communication of emerging mathematical ideas and reasoning. Limited attempt to use appropriate notation, representations, or terminology, and with limited accuracy. Limited attempt to develop or test a conjecture. Stage 2 Mathematics studies annotated task Ref: A153516 (January 2012) © SACE Board of South Australia 2012 STAGE 2 MATHEMATICAL STUDIES FOLIO TASK – STATISTICAL INVESTIGATION OF INTERNET USAGE PATTERNS The data in the table below was taken from the 2006 CensusAtSchool. The figures given can be considered to be representative of the 2006 population of students who took part in the project. That is, the data represented males and females from all year levels, from all across Australia. The data are from the question: How do you usually spend your time on the internet? 2006 (Q.35) Internet Activity Buying and/or selling things Emailing friends and family Researching for school work Playing games and simulations Never 6.7% 17.8% 15.1% 79.1% Rarely 20.1% 17.3% 24.5% 14.1% Sometimes 45.9% 35.6% 30.7% 4.2% Often 27.3% 29.3% 29.7% 2.6% 1) Go to the internet and log on to the Census at Schools home page at http://www.abs.gov.au/websitedbs/CaSHome.nsf/Home/Home 2) Use the Random Sampler to select a sample of students from which you can extract appropriate data to determine if internet usage has changed between 2006 and the data currently available. 3) Do appropriate statistical analysis of the relevant data. You may seek help with the organisation of the data you download from the internet but you need to make decisions about the best way to analyse the data. 4) Prepare a report that includes: an introduction explaining what you are investigating an explanation of your method mathematical calculations and results, and appropriate representations an analysis of your results a statement of the results and conclusions in the context of the original problem, and considering the reasonableness and possible limitations of the interpreted results and recognition of any assumptions made. You do not have to attach a printout of the raw data but should save the data as an Excel file and provide in an appendix details of your username and the location of the file on the school’s intranet. You must also submit a printed or hand-written version of your report. Page 3 of 4 Stage 2 Mathematics Studies annotated task Ref: A153516 (January 2013) © SACE Board of South Australia 2012 Mathematical Knowledge and Skills and Their Application In this task, there are ample opportunities to demonstrate a comprehensive knowledge of content and understanding of concepts and relationships pertaining to subtopics 1.1, 1.6 and 1.7 (normal distributions, testing claims, and estimating confidence intervals for a population proportion). There is a wide range of possible approaches to producing a solution to the problem, providing opportunities to make appropriate selection and to demonstrate the use of appropriate mathematical algorithms and techniques to find efficient solutions to this complex problem. Efficient use of technology will make any repetitive tasks much less time consuming. Depending on their background and prior opportunities to use spreadsheets, students will have varying skills in using this kind of software. Some students will do the calculations on a graphics calculator and use the spreadsheet as a display tool rather than fully use the power of a spreadsheet. This will not, on its own, prevent them from being assessed at the highest level in Mathematical Knowledge and Skills and Their Application. Mathematical Modelling and Problem-solving Some students may choose to focus on one aspect of internet activity (e.g. Research for School) and in demonstrating a change in the pattern of use there, consider this sufficient evidence that patterns of internet use have changed. A more complete solution would examine all aspects of internet use and explain in what way the use of the internet has changed between 2006 and the present. The way students compare the data and calculated values from the 2006 and current cohorts provides them with opportunities to demonstrate their ability to interpret their results in this context. The use of the “Random Sampler” provides opportunities to comment on the reasonableness and possible limitations of their interpreted results. Where the random sampler provides anomalous results, students have the opportunity to explain how they dealt with those results and to comment on any assumptions they made. Classroom discussion about the nature of the data collected in the CensusatSchool web site, prior to doing this task assists in making decisions about the reliability and reasonableness of results from their data. Examination of the data for 2006 and the current year and the results of the hypothesis testing and confidence intervals calculated lead students to develop a conjecture as to whether or not internet use has changed. The way they go about explaining and justifying their point of view by referring to their data and calculated values provides opportunities for assessment of how well they have substantiated this conjecture. As it stands, this task does not provide an opportunity for students to work in a group; however, this specific feature could be addressed if the task was altered. For example, students could be given the opportunity to work together on a joint approach to the task, explaining their intended method but each finding their own sample and drawing their own conclusions. Sharing and comparison of results might also provide further opportunity to discuss reasonableness and possible limitations of their interpreted results. Communication of Mathematical Information: The collation of values calculated from the sample data and comparison of these values with the data representative of the 2006 cohort provides the opportunity to demonstrate reasoning to develop a logical argument in support of their hypothesis. There is clearly a requirement to communicate this argument and support it with the values they calculate. Graphical representations (for example, of the position of a 2006 value compared to the confidence interval for the current value) could enhance communication of written arguments. Though much of the mathematical calculations for p-values, Z-scores and confidence intervals are done with technology, some students may choose to provide hand written mathematical working of these values as an example of what is being done with the technology. Hence the opportunity exists for the students to demonstrate proficient and accurate use of appropriate notation. Written comments making interpretations, discussing reasonableness and limitations of results and supporting conjectures provide opportunities to use appropriate terminology. Page 4 of 4 Stage 2 Mathematics Studies annotated task Ref: A153516 (January 2013) © SACE Board of South Australia 2012
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