第三章 資本在時間上的配置 Capital Allocation over Time 1 分配原則: ( Principles of Allocation ) 2 Effect of the rate of return (i): 3 Time Value of Money: $100 today or a year later ? today is better ∵ uncertainty alternative uses, inflation 4 Mathematics of Compound Interest Simple interest: S = s.(1 + i.n) i: interest Compound interest:interest is paid more than once (interests add to principal) S = s.(1 + i )n Present Value (PV) PV FV 1 i n ….. FV.Table 2 (s .Table 1) Future Value (FV) FV PV 1 i ….. PV.Table 1 n i: discount rate = (riskless equity return + inflation rate + risk premium) 5 Mathematics of Compound Interest(續) The present value of a sequence of annual incomes: n FVt FV3 FVn FV1 FV2 PV ..... 1 i 1 i 2 1 i 3 1 i n t 1 1 i n if n →∞ and FV constant (annuity) PV FV i if FV constant but n → ∞ PV 1 i n 1 1 1 i n FV FV n i i 1 i FV = PV.Table 3 PV = FV / Table 3 or or FV Table 4 annuity FV = PV / Table 4 PV = FV.Table 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Application of the Time Value of Money • Bond valuation : (p.63) n It PV 1 i n t 1 1 i t Pn eg:Bond face value: $1000 , interest rate: 5%, time value of money: 7%, mature in 10 yrs. $1000 × 5% × 7.0236+$1000 × 0.5083=$859.48 (Table 4) (Table 2) • Valuation of farm real estate: (p.65) end of year 0 0 1 0 2 0 Table 4 Table 2 3 4 5 ........………. 20 0 $100 $100 ….....….......$100 $1,200 Table 2 $100 PV17yr,8% PV3yr,8% $1,200 PV20yr,8% 13
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