Gas Plant Rationalization The Prize and The Pitfalls GPAC 4th Qtr. Conference December 6, 2006 Bart van Schaayk, P.Eng. Principal Gas Processing Management Inc. What is gas plant rationalization? Basically its when one existing plant can do the job of two (or more) existing plants, and do it more efficiently – at least theoretically. Definitions Rationalizer – the plant that remains after rationalization. Rationalizee – the plant that doesn’t remain, at least in its original configuration. Certainties in Life The well known ones… Death Taxes Now the ones applicable to gas plants… Natural gas reserves deplete Majority of operating costs are fixed They have limits on their economic reach They have turn-down limitations Regulations are constantly changing Equipment eventually needs replacing Question - Will plant rationalization cure these ills? Answer – It depends. Rationalization? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Forget the norm Those darn hidden costs The control game The Crown impact Get real Phase identity – GJ’s or NGL’s Fear of commitment 1. Forget the Norm The Norm The Rationalizee Pays all the capital costs Pays the Rationalizer’s standard processing fee Gives up its third party business The Rationalizer Counts his money The Norm won’t work Too great a burden on the Rationalizee 2. Those Darn Hidden Costs Rationalization often brings costs other than processing fees. Capital Field processing – dehydration and compression New, modified or extended gathering system Operating Field processing Early site abandonment and reclamation 3. The Control Game Commodity Economics vs. Cost Economics Are you comfortable that no longer operating your gas plant will not erode the potential cost reduction? How well are the Rationalizee and Rationalizer align? 4. The Crown Impact Rationalization can have an impact on the Rationalizer’s allowable Alberta GCA deduction on both the capital and operating cost components. Capital component - the increased third party throughput could reduce the Rationalizer’s available GCA deduction. Operating cost component • No impact on the non-designated (i.e. smaller) gas plants • Potential reduction in GCA deduction for the designated gas plants (38 largest in Alberta). 5. Get Real Realistic financial expectations a must for both parties. Reasonable sharing of the economic prize Lower per unit opex Avoided capital expenditure Reduced fuel gas consumption Greater third party processing business Greater operating efficiencies NGL uplift 6. Phase Identity: GJs or NGLs Particularly significant if… The raw gas stream contains a reasonable amount of C3+, and occasionally C2. There is a marked difference in the NGL recovery capabilities of the plants. The Rationalizee and the Rationalizer have different views on the value of NGLs, or their ability or desire to capture any uplift in value. Could become an “give” in rationalization negotiations. 7. Fear of Commitment Plant rationalization will not happen if there is not an genuine commitment to the process. It’s too easy to walk away from the table. Few rationalization scenarios are straightforward. Complications will deter the less committed. They also provide opportunities to find common ground or innovative solutions. In Summary In a maturing WCSB, opportunities for gas plant rationalization should increase. As in most negotiations, win-lose seldom works, particularly in the longterm. This applies to plant rationalization as well. Do the homework and understand the prize and the pitfalls.
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