Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I Analyze a single market in isolation from the rest of the economy. I Underlying assumption: the market is small enough so that general equilibrium e§ects (i.e. repercussions through adjustments in other markets) can be ignored. I Should really be seen as a Örst approximation. I Examples: Markets for various grocery items such as wine, milk, bread. Markets for various services: hairdressing, banking services etc. Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I Modeling tool: quasilinear preferences: I I I I I I The quantity of the good bought by individual i is denoted by qi ! 0. Utility to i from consuming qi units: vi (qi ) . Outside good y that can be thought of as money or a composite good reáecting all other consumption. The good is priced at p > 0 per unit of consumption. The composite good is priced at 1, and hence p is also the relative price. Initial holdings of mi units of the composite good or money. Quasilinear utility: ui (yi , qi ) = vi (qi ) + yi . Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis Consumerís problem: max vi (qi ) + yi yi ,q i !0 subject to yi + pqi = mi . I I I Interpretation: y is a composite good that represents the major part of the consumption outlays for all consumers. Hence changes in qi have a linear e§ect on the utility from consumption of y . If the consumerís total budget is mi ! 0, then only mi " pqi is left for other goods. Substituting from the budget constraint into objective function, we get: max vi (qi ) + mi " pqi . qi I Note that this formulation applies to choosing continuous units as well as choosing discrete units. Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I We will assume that the function vi is increasing and has decreasing marginal utilities. For discrete units, vi (qi ) ! vi (qi " 1) , vi (qi ) " vi (qi " 1) ! vi (qi + 1) " vi (qi ) , I and in the continuous case, vi0 (qi ) ! 0 and vi00 (qi ) $ 0, i.e. vi (%) is an increasing and concave function. In the continuous case, the Örst order condition for maximum is vi0 (qi ) = p I We denote the solution to the consumerís problem by qi (p ) . I By di§erentiating the Örst-order condition, we get the law of demand: qi0 (p ) $ 0, or in words, the individual demand is downward sloping. I Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I Production side: cost function I I I Firm j supplies qjs units of the good. ! " The cost function cj qjs measures the cost of delivering qjs units on the market in terms of the composite good (or money). The produced good is priced at p in the market, and the Örm chooses qjs to maximizes its Önal wealth: ! " s max m + pq " c qjs , j j j s qj I I where mj is the initial holdings of money by Örm j. This is called the Firmís problem. The solution to the Örmís problem gives the supply function qjs (p ) . Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I For the most part, we assume that the cost function is inceasing and convex in the sense that for all j and qjs , # $ # $ cj qjs ! cj qjs " 1 , and I I # $ # $ # $ # $ cj qjs " cj qjs " 1 $ cj qjs + 1 " cj qjs ! " ! " with discrete supply levels or cj0 qjs > 0 and cj00 qjs ! 0 in the case of a continuous qjs . First order condition: # $ cj0 qjs = p. The solution to this equation is called the individual supply of Örm j and it is denoted by qjs (p ) . I By di§erentiation: qjs 0 (p ) = I cj00 1 ! " > 0. qjs In words, more is supplied at higher output prices. Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I Market place: I I I I I In competitive analysis, Örms and consumers meet in an anonymous market. Anonymity means that the price is the same for all participants and not dependent on the identities i and j. Both the buyers and the sellers are price takers: the price is there and does not depend on individual demands qi and supplies qjs . Price is linear: the cost of buying qi units is p % qi rather than a more general function p (qi ) . All buyers and all sellers know the price in the market. Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I We cover only the case with continuous demands and supplies, but all arguments generalize to the discrete case too. The market functions as follows I Market demand function Q is obtained by summing over i all individual demand functions: I Â qi (p ) , Q (p ) = i =1 I where I is the total number of consumers in the market. By the individual laws of demand, we get Q 0 (p ) = I Â qi0 (p ) < 0. i =1 Market demand curve is thus downward sloping. Standard Approach: Partial Equilibrium Analysis I I Market supply Q s (p ) is obtained by summing over j all individual supply functions: Q s (p ) = J Â qjs (p ) , j =1 I where j is the total number of Örms in the market. By individual laws of supply, we get Q s 0 (p ) = J Â qjs 0 (p ) > 0. j =1 I An equilibrium in the market is a pair (p & , Q & ) such that markets clear: Q & = Q (p & ) = Q s (p & ) . I Observe that in equilibrium, each Örm j supplies quantity qjs (p & ) and each consumer i demands qi (p & ) . Markets, E¢ciency and Welfare I How to deÖne e¢ciency? This is hard a priori. I I How to deÖne ine¢ciency? An economic allocation is clearly ine¢cient if it is possible to improve the welfare of some individuals without hurting others. An allocation is Pareto-e¢cient if it is not clearly ine¢cient. Or in other words: DeÖnition A feasible allocation is Pareto-e¢cient if there is no other feasible allocation where at least one of the agents is better o§ and none of the agents is worse o§. I Yet another way of phrasing this: Starting from a Pareto-e¢cient allocation, you cannot help anyone without hurting someone else. I I I What do we mean by agentsí welfare here? For consumers, it is measured by their utility function yi + v (qi ). For Örms, it is measured!by "their proÖt in terms of the composite good y " c q s . Markets, E¢ciency and Welfare Theorem (First Fundamental Welfare Theorem (Invisible Hand)) Every competitive equilibrium is Pareto-e¢cient I With quasi-linear preferences, there are no other Pareto-e¢cient allocations Theorem At any Pareto-e¢cient vi0 (qi ) = cj0 (qj ) for all i and j, and therefore the aggregate quantity produced is given by Q & . I To see why this must be true, notice that proÖtable trade exists between buyers i and i 0 if vi0 (qi ) 6= vi00 (qi 0 ) , a 0 proÖtable ! " of production exists between j and j if ! " reallocation cj0 qjs 6= cj00 qjs0 and a proÖtable trade exists between i and j if vi0 (qi ) 6= cj0 (qj ) . Hence the allocation is Pareto e¢cient only if vi0 (qi ) = cj0 (qj ) = p for some p. Markets, E¢ciency and Welfare Finally, an allocation is feasible only if at least as much is produced as consumed. E¢ciency implies that total amount consumed must be exactly the amount produced. But then Q (p ) = Q s (p ) , and this happens only when p = p & and Q (p ) = Q s (p ) = Q & . Summary In competitive anonymous markets: I Prices adjust to clear the market I Competitive equilibrium allocation is e¢cient I A unique price obtains in the market (Law of one price). Evaluating the predictions I Predictions seem to work reasonably well in centralized markets such as commodity exchanges I What about closer to home: supermarkets? I I Markets do seem to clear reasonable well Law of one price fails. I I I This failure has been documented in numerous markets. Does not seem to be too sensitive to the deÖnition of market Source: Kaplan & Menzio (2014): The Morphology of Prices Evaluating the predictions How to quantify the price dispersion? I I Kaplan & Menzio (2014) have data on purchases collected by Nielsen. They have computed: How to explain this? Maybe the stores are di§erentiated I Some stores higher quality I Some stores at more attractive locations I But variation by store accounts only for 10% of total price variation Maybe supermarkets have di§erent costs I Maybe they have di§erent wholesale prices I But wholesale price depends on the chain to which the store belongs and the chain explains very little of the price variation. How to explain this? Maybe supermarkets are special I shoppers get a basket of goods, not a single good I I But Sorensen (2000) shows similar price dispersion for prescription drugs in pharmacies in a small town. In Sorensen (2000), variation in prices seems to be independent in the sense that some drugs are expensive while others are cheap at a given pharmacy. Maybe shoppers are not aware of all the prices in their market I This is the story line pursued in the next lecture How to explain this? Maybe there is a pricing cycle? I Weíll take this up later in the course on intertemporal price discrimination Maybe coupons make the prices di§erent for di§erent individuals I Covered in the section on price discrimination Is the price dispersion economically important? I For a representative shopping basket, K&M compute dispersion in the price index depending on the deÖnition of good as follows:
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