Saskatchewan Common Mathematics Assessments
Post Assessment
Outcome: SP5.3 Describe, compare, predict, and test the likelihood of outcomes in probability
situations.
1. True or False: Indicate whether the following are examples of an outcome.
_____a) choosing clothes to wear
Level
1
_____b) rolling a 6 on a die
2.
Explain your answer(s) in question 1.
3.
You are rolling two 6 sided dice. Indicate which of the following are certain, possible, or
impossible.
a) The sum of the dice will be between and including 2 and 12. ________________
b) The sum of the dice will be 14.________________
c) Both dice represent odd numbers ____________________
d) You will roll doubles.____________
4.
Describe each event. Indicate which of the following are certain, possible, or impossible.
a. It will rain tomorrow. _______________
Level
2
b. Someone in the class is ten years old.__________________
c. Someone in your class will visit planet Mercury._________________
5.
Describe a situation in your classroom where the outcome is possible.
6. You are playing Monopoly TM with your friends and your token is on Luxury Tax as shown
below. The number of spaces your token moves in a clockwise direction is the sum of two
regular dice. Describe a situation which would be impossible? Why?
7.
If you flip a coin, how likely is it that you will flip “heads” compared to flipping “tails”?
(check one)
____more likely
____ equally likely
____ less likely
Level
3
8.
Matt and Shawn have been flipping a quarter and guessing whether it will land on “heads” or
“tails”. “Tails” has been flipped five times in row. How likely is it that the next flip will be
“tails”? Explain your thinking.
9.
Design a spinner so that when the pointer is spun:
a. Landing on yellow is most likely
b. Landing on purple is impossible
c. Landing on green and landing on blue are equally likely
d. Landing on red is least likely
Explain your thinking.
Level
4
Teacher Section
Teacher Notes:
Question
Indicator
Level
Answer Key:
Answer
1a
1b
2
3a
3b
3c
3d
4a
4b
4c
5
6
7
8
9
N/A
N/A
N/A
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3a
SP5.3c
SP5.3c
SP5.3d
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
False
True
Rolling a 6 is a result of an event; choosing clothes is an action
Certain
Impossible
Possible
Possible
Possible
Certain
Impossible
One team will win the soccer game at recess
Boardwalk
Equally likely
Equally likely – independent event
Yellow is the biggest, red is the smallest, green and blue are the same size
Outcome: SP5.3 Describe, compare, predict, and test the likelihood of outcomes in probability
situations.
Description of
Levels:
(based on
Marzano, 2007)
up to Level 1
up to Level 2
up to Level 3
up to Level 4
There is a partial
understanding of
some of the
simpler details and
processes.
Prior knowledge is
understood.
No major errors or
omissions
regarding the
simpler details or
processes, but
major errors or
omissions
regarding the
complex processes
may be present.
S.P.5.3 a, b
 Categorize
situations
involving
probabilities as
certain, possible
or impossible.
 Design and
conduct
experiments to
determine if an
outcome is
certain, possible
or impossible.
No major errors or
omissions
regarding any of
the information
and/or processes
that were explicitly
taught.
This is the target
level for
proficiency.
S.P.5.3 c
 Identify possible
outcomes and
classify as less
likely, equally
likely or more
likely and
explain
reasoning.
In addition to level 3
performance, indepth inferences and
applications go
beyond what was
explicitly taught.
 Can explain
what an
outcome is.
Indicators and
Learning
Targets for each
Level:
Student-friendly
descriptions of
learning targets.
I can explain what
an outcome is.
I can sort
situations into
certain, possible or
impossible
probabilities.
I can make and do
probability
experiments.
I can select, name
and explain why
outcomes are; as
less likely, equally
likely or more
likely.
 Consider the
probability of an
event occurring and
discuss its
implications.
I understand how the
probability of an
event can affect me
and my community.