Trent University CANADIAN ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING CENTRE NEWSLETTER Editor: Eva Webster Assistant Editor: Karen Foster Spring 2004 Progress Report More Honours for the Director The CEMC’s Director, Don Mackay, has been appointed an Officer of the Order of Canada by Canada’s Governor General, Adrienne Clarkson. The investiture ceremony will be in the Autumn. Within weeks of that announcement, Don received the Order of Ontario. The Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, James Bartleman, invested Don along with 24 others at Queen’s Park on March 31. In interviews with local media, Don acknowledged the contribution of his colleagues at the Centre and others with whom he shares these honours, including Tom Symons, founding President of Trent University. The Centre and the Network The CEM Network proposed and discussed at the meeting last June is now a reality with Frank Gobas, Rajesh Seth, Frank Wania and Don Mackay signed on behalf of their research groups at Simon Fraser University, University of Windsor, University of Toronto, and Trent University. We expect others to become associated with the Network later. Details remain to be worked out, however, we anticipate that this will facilitate closer collaboration between the respective research groups and provide an efficient conduit for information sharing between academia, industry, and government ministries. This year the June meeting will provide an opportunity to discuss the future of the CEMN, as well as report on current activities. We plan to place emphasis on establishing future directions which will satisfy our academic needs as well as the needs of our industry and government partners. In short, we should try to paint a picture of the evolving activities, priorities, and practices. This is an exciting challenge and we look forward to meeting it. Partners’ Meeting Reminder June 10-11, 2004 (Note date change from previous newsletter.) Irwin Inn on Stoney Lake Canada Research Chair The Canada Research Chair (CRC) in Environmental Modelling was re-posted in October 2003 and three candidates were interviewed in late March. An offer has been made by Trent to Dr Julian Aherne. The CRC submission is being prepared and a decision is expected by January 2005. People The following people are continuing at the Centre: Don Mackay, Director; Eva Webster, Assistant Director; Christopher Warren and Todd Gouin, Ph.D. students; Liisa Toose, M.Sc. student; and Jennifer Hubbarde, Lauren Hughes, Colin Harvey, part-time undergraduate research assistants. Lynne Milford has left us to pursue other career options. Karen Foster has returned to us after a few months travelling in Ireland and the UK. This is merely a rest stop for her as she heads for Europe in July for more adventuring. Merike Perem will be rejoining us for the summer months. Rebecca Lavallée will join us at the end of April. Also joining us is Jon Arnot from Frank Gobas’ group at Simon Fraser University and Sahsa Sud, an international student at Trent. At the University of Toronto, Wan-Ying Shiu, K.C. Ma, and Sum Chi Lee are continuing to update the Illustrated Handbooks of Physical-Chemical Properties and Environmental Fate for publication by CRC Press. Spring 2004 Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -2 CEMC Research Progress Multimedia Modelling Spatial Interpolation Techniques and Environmental Fate Modelling Liisa Toose has been working on identifying ways in which large-scale modelling efforts such as the BETR-World model can effectively be integrated with spatial interpolation techniques. A review of spatial interpolation approaches using atmospheric "-hexachlorocyclohexane monitoring data from across North America has been completed. Results between interpolation methods and BETR-World atmospheric concentrations can be compared. This line of investigation challenges the assumption of environmental homogeneity in large-scale fugacity-type models. In challenging this assumption, we aim to highlight major strengths and weaknesses in large-scale regional modelling approaches. Urban Model Karen Foster is working with the urban model originally constructed by Steve Sharpe, which incorporates an urban film compartment into the “EQC standard environment”. The urban film is a very thin layer of hydrophobic organic material that coats impermeable urban surfaces such as windows. Miriam Diamond’s group at the University of Toronto has argued that the urban film acts as an exchange surface with air and may be important in determining the overall fate of contaminants in the urban environment. Karen is examining urban air quality under both steadystate and dynamic conditions with particular attention to volatile organic compounds, VOCs, as ozone precursors. Indoor Exposure Models We plan to do some work this summer on indoor air quality models. The fugacity format is particularly convenient for this purpose. We are aware of the excellent work done on this topic by Dr. Yoshihide Matoba of Sumitomo Chemical Company, Dr. Debbie Bennett of the Harvard School of Public Health and Dr. Rich Corsi of the University of Texas in Austin. We did preliminary work on indoor DDT exposure some years ago. We view this work as important because of low ventilation rates and the large number of possible contaminant sources indoors resulting in relatively high exposures to substances such as pesticides, solvents, fire retardants, and fabric coatings. This will complete the indoor - urban outdoor rural outdoor - regional scale sequence of models. Chemical Properties and Models of Specific Chemicals Handbook of Physical Chemical Properties Work is underway at the University of Toronto with Dr. Wan-Ying Shiu, Dr. K.C. Ma and Sum Chi Lee to update the Handbook of Physical Chemical Properties. This is likely to take form of a package of 5 volumes and a CD containing some 20 chapters on chemical groups. It will be published by CRC Press in 2005. A major difference from the previous version is the inclusion of temperature dependence and several “new” classes of chemicals, notably organofluorine and bromine substances and pharmaceuticals. This summer, Colin Harvey will be assisting with the compilation of the pharmaceutical data. Spring 2004 Modelling Metals Also this summer Colin will continue work on a six-compartment “unit world” model for the fate of metals and metal compounds in the environment. A report on the SETAC-sponsored Pellston workshop held in May of 2003 in Pensacola, FL on the persistence of metals in the environment will be published soon. Multi-Species Modelling Modelling the environmental behaviour of multispecies chemicals such as mercury, which cycle between species, is a considerable challenge. For those multi-species chemicals whose species concentration ratios remain relatively constant within individual environmental media, Don and Liisa have devised a simple modelling method. Their approach compiles mass balance equations Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -3 for all species together and then uses the concentration ratios to determine the proportions of chemical species present in each environmental medium, and involved in transfer and loss processes. This technique has been applied to simple two- and four-compartment generic environments and is being integrated into the regional-type model framework of the BETR-World model. A manuscript that was prepared and submitted for publication in Environmental Science & Technology and reviewers comments are being addressed. PBDEs Todd Gouin, with Dr. Tom Harner of Environment Canada, continues to work on assessing the spatial and temporal distribution of PBDEs in air using both passive and active air sampling techniques. Passive air samples have been collected over the last year along an urban-rural gradient extending from downtown Toronto to an Environment Canada operated site at Fraserdale in Northern Ontario. Samples have been collected on a monthly basis to assess seasonal variability. This study will help evaluate the long-range transport potential of the PBDEs. Complimenting this study has been the collection of samples in various media, including leaves, snow, soil and “hat” samples, using the novel “Mexican hat” sampler developed by Tom. The “hat” samples air just above the surface of soils, and therefore provides an indication of the exchange of contaminants between soils and the atmosphere. It is believed that the collection of these samples will help us better understand the air-surface exchange and environmental fate of the PBDEs. In collaboration with Dr. Kevin Jones’ group at Lancaster University, Todd has also observed that DecaBDE is present in the atmosphere, and is the dominant PBDE congener in air. The data collected also suggest that DecaBDE may be subject to particle-bound transport. This is an important observation, especially since very few studies have reported DecaBDE in the air. Todd will be presenting these results at the BFR2004 workshop in Toronto in June. Gasoline, Complex Substances, and Mixtures The gasoline risk assessment project described in the previous newsletter has been completed. This was done with the support and active collaboration of Tom Parkerton of ExxonMobil. The report is being reviewed by CONCAWE, the European petroleum industry group, prior to submission to the European Union. Karen is writing up part of this work describing the recommended “recipe” for assessing the fate of chemical mixtures. Aquatic Models Harbour Model A model incorporating the effects of marine and freshwater interaction is being developed by Chris Warren for harbour systems. This has the active collaboration of Dr. Jocelyne Hellou of the Department of Fisheries and Oceans. Currently the focus is on Halifax Harbour, Nova Scotia, Canada looking at PAHs and other contaminants in the water and sediment with the inclusion of bio-uptake modelling. River Basin Model Work continues on the pair of manuscripts being prepared on a tiered assessment tool for assessing contaminants in river systems. Key collaborators are Dr. Kay Fox of the University of Sheffield and Dr. Mick Whelan of Unilever. The first paper will Spring 2004 present the basis of the tiered approach with the second being an application of this approach to the Aire-Calder catchment in the UK. Marine Oil Pollution Model The development stage of a model describing the fate of petroleum hydrocarbons originating from accidental spills and process water from offshore oil exploration and production facilities has been completed. While other models are currently available for examining marine oil pollution, this model will provide a simple approach combining contaminant diffusion and dispersion with relation to oceanic currents and drift as well as bio-uptake. Currently, we are in the process of preparing the model for an appropriate environmental scenario. Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -4 Soil Models Pesticide Evaporation and Deposition We are developing a model to describe the evaporation of a pesticide from a field following application. The downwind concentrations are calculated using a plume dispersion model and deposition to a water body is also evaluated. The aim of the model is to obtain estimates of concentrations of pesticide chemicals in ponds and lakes downwind of applications. Work also continues on pesticide fate in ditches following runoff from areas of application. Chemical Fate in Sludge-Amended Soils Development of a dynamic Soil model was begun last summer by Lauren Hughes. This summer we will proceed into a second phase of a potentially three-phase project to model the fate of contaminants introduced into the environment through the use of sewage sludge as a soil amendment. The focus will be on fate in the soil, including such processes as organic matter degradation, periodic ploughing, bioturbation processes, changing hydrological conditions and runoff. In addition, we will include screening level estimates of uptake and concentration in plants and soil-dwelling organisms. In Phase III a set of more complex mass balance models for plants and animals are planned. Bioaccumulation Modelling Plant Modelling The plant modelling work of Sally Paterson, Hayley Hung, Dave Woodfine and others is being brought together by Jennifer Hubbarde to form the basis of her model. Model development was undertaken as a part of her undergraduate “Mathematical Modelling” course. Jennifer will undertake the software development for the model this summer. This model will provide a link in the chain from environmental concentration to human and wildlife exposure estimates. Leaf Model Karen and Don have also been working on improved modelling of the uptake and release of chemicals by leaf surfaces. Existing models do not satisfactorily explain observations made recently by various workers including Kevin Jones’ group at the University of Lancaster. Foliage placed in a clean environment after exposure to PCBs in air, experiences clearance as a two-stage process. Initially the PCB content of the plant decreases rapidly on a scale of hours. A second, much slower, clearance follows release of PCBs over a number of weeks. A relatively simple diffusion model that considers a single leaf as a number of layers surrounded by a boundary layer of air has been compiled and Spring 2004 reproduces these results. As the chemical travels from layers deeper within the leaf, an increased number of resistances must be overcome thus creating the time delay that is observed as a two-phase clearance process. Bioaccumulation in Aquatic Environments Brendan Hickie is continuing his work on the bioaccumulation of POPs by marine mammals including killer whales, ringed seals and harbour seals. A recent focus of this work has been on better characterizing the dietary assimilation and fecal elimination of POPs by mammals. Existing data are being used in the modelling effort and Brendan with the assistance of a graduate student, Karen Reiber, is conducting a research project to field-validate the model in seals. Brendan has also recently become involved in a project examining mercury accumulation by river otter and mink in collaboration with Dr. Doug Evans (Trent faculty) and graduate student Nicole Grochowina. Mysid Cannibalism We have finally completed the paper on cannibalism that involved collaboration with Alison Fraser, Dr. David Lasenby, Dr. Tom Cahill, and Lynne Milford. We showed that mysids can “self-biomagnify” chemicals as a result of cannibalism. The effect is probably not large but it likely contributes to greater variability in Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -5 concentrations in predators. An aspect which is also included is the role of sediments as distinct from the water column as a contaminant source. The paper has been submitted to Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry. Screening Level Risk Assessment (SLRA) Risk of toxic effects depend upon the quantity of a substance present at the site of toxic action, but this quantity is difficult to determine. The resulting shortage of such data have long proven to be a barrier to risk assessment. In collaboration with Jeanette Southwood of Golder Associates, an evaluation of the QA/QC (actual quantity / critical quantity) fraction is being used in a manner similar to the PEC/NEC ratio to introduce quantity into risk assessment at an earlier stage. If the likely actual quantity is very low compared to the critical quantity, risk may be considered to be low and detailed hazard assessment may be less important. We view this as a very important project with the potential to contribute significantly to chemical assessment. Regulatory Issues Persistence and Long-Range Transport: The Benchmarking Project The international collaborative (OECD) effort to identify benchmark chemicals for persistence and long-range transport potential chemical evaluation is nearing completion. The key researchers in this project are Drs. Martin Scheringer, Kathrin Fenner, Dik van de Meent, Matt MacLeod, Andreas Beyer, Michael Matthies, Tom McKone, Frank Wania, Mark Bonnell, David Pennington, and Maximilian Stroebe. The CEMC has played a relatively minor role in this collaborative effort. Results from our Level II and Level III models are included in the study. Two publications are planned; “Comparing estimates of persistence and long-range transport potential among multimedia models”, and “Identifying POP-like behavior in screening assessments of organic chemicals” to be submitted to Environmental Science & Technology. Policy by Analogy and the Precautionary Principle As a result of the acquisition of scientific data, knowledge is gained about the environmental fate and human exposure of chemical substances. From this knowledge the risk of using chemicals can be assessed. As a means of facilitating the regulatory process, risk assessments can also compare the substance under investigation to other substances that display similar behaviour or structure, especially when the risk assessment involves a substance for which few data exist. For instance, similarities can be drawn between a number of poorly studied chemical substances and those which are currently listed as chemicals of concern. In an attempt to better understand this, Todd and Don, in collaboration with Dr. Stephen Bocking Spring 2004 (Trent University), have completed a review in which it is suggested that policy can be guided, in part, by analogy. Specifically they demonstrate that by taking advantage of knowledge obtained for the PCBs in the past we can better implement precautionary measures with respect to similar substances, such as the PBDEs, and do so more quickly and appropriately. An offshoot of this work has been an exploration of the “Precautionary Principle” applied to chemicals. An essay on how this Principle can be displayed graphically is being prepared. Ecological Risk Assessment Don has contributed a chapter to the forthcoming book “Ecological Risk Assessment” edited by Glenn Suter of the US EPA. The chapter includes an account of the benefits of models, the methods of contribution and lists examples of models used for specific media and specific classes of chemicals. Publication is expected by CRC Press in late 2004. Using Models to Assess Ecological Risk A paper has been submitted to Environmental Science & Technology jointly with Drs. Tom McKone and Matt MacLeod showing how mass balance models of chemical fate and transport can be applied in ecological risk assessments for quantitative estimation of environmental concentrations. These concentrations can, in turn, be used to estimate organism exposures and ultimately body internal tissue concentrations that can be compared to mode-of-action-based critical body residues that correspond to toxic effects. Risks to the exposed organism can then be evaluated. To illustrate, the EQC model and a Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -6 simple screening level bio-uptake model including three organisms (a bird, a mammal, and a fish) was applied to gasoline. The 24 gasoline components or “blocks” from the previous work by Karen Foster were used. These blocks consist of components with similar environmental fate properties that are assumed to elicit ecotoxicity via a narcotic modeof-action. We showed that differences in chemical properties and mode-of-entry into the environment result in profound differences in the efficiency of transport from emission to target biota. This approach is particularly suitable for assessing mixtures of components that have similar modesof-action. We believe that such model-based methodologies are particularly suitable for screening level risk assessments of large numbers of chemicals. Software Production As always, software production has slowed through the winter months while our team of undergraduate code writers pursued their various studies. There are a number of models in the final stages of testing prior to release. These include the AirWater, Fish, Soil, and Sediment models, Level IV, ChemScorer, Foodweb, the revised STP model, and a suite of pharmacokinetic bioaccumulation models PBPK I, II, III, and IV. Also in final testing are Level II-Batch Mode and Level III-Batch Mode which were used in the persistence and long-range transport benchmarking project described earlier. We look forward to another productive summer in 2004 as Jennifer Hubbarde, Lauren Hughes, and Colin Harvey return. They will be joined by Rebecca Lavallée. Jennifer will prepare software modelling contaminant transport in plants and continue with the task of converting the BETR model into software. Lauren will continue development of her pseudo-dynamic Soil model. Last summer Colin began the software implementation of a simple linear river model in preparation for the more challenging task of converting Chris Warren's river basin model into software. Visitors to the Centre In December we were visited by Yuso Kobara, and Motoki Nishimori of the National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Japan. In seeking to apply our models, they were concerned about the effects of the higher temperatures and higher humidity experienced in the Asian environment. Meetings and Conferences Attended SETAC North America; Austin, TX; November 9-13, 2003 - Attended by Don, Chris, Todd Mackay D. Breathing, eating, digesting and metabolising: The basics of bioaccumulation. Mackay, D, Foster, K, Parkerton, T. Risk Assessment of a Complex Substance: Gasoline as an Example Texas A&M, College Station, Texas; November 2003 Don and Chris met with Jim Bonner and his group at the Environmental and Water Resources Division. Fugacity Workshop, Health Canada, Ottawa; December 10, 2003 Don gave a one-day workshop on the fugacity concept to staff at Health Canada. Managing Chemicals in the 21st Century Environment, Environment Canada, Gatineau; December 12, 2003 Don delivered an overview of the contribution of green chemistry to the sound management of commercial chemicals as a part of the Environment Canada Policy Research Seminar Series. Don outlined the growth of environmental awareness of toxic chemicals. He then discussed how commercial chemicals can be “managed” Spring 2004 Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -7 with knowledge of their toxicity, persistence, bioaccumulation potential, and long-range transport potential. He ended by describing how “green chemistry” in combination with models can assist in finding the best combination of chemical properties in designing new chemical compounds. The paper is to be published on the Environment Canada website http://www.ec.gc.ca/seminar SETAC Europe; Prague; April 18 - 22, 2004 T. Gouin, T. Harner, P. Blanchard, D. Mackay. Mapping the spatial and temporal distribution of polybrominated diphenyl ethers in ambient air from the Great Lakes region. (poster presentation) Upcoming IAGLR-ILEC - Waterloo; May 24 - 28, 2004 Session in honour of Steve Eisenreich. T. Gouin, T. Harner, P. Blanchard, D. Mackay. Mapping the spatial and temporal distribution of polybrominated diphenyl ethers in ambient air from the Great Lakes region. D. Mackay, T. Gouin, L. Toose. Long-range atmospheric transport of contaminants: A Great Lakes and global issue. BFR2004 - Toronto; June 6-9, 2004 D. Mackay, T. Gouin. Exploring cause-effect linkages for chemicals CEMN/CEMC Partners' Meeting - Stoney Lake; June 10-11, 2004 There will not be a Fugacity Workshop preceding the meeting this year due to the date change. IMEMS 2004 - Washington DC; October 18-20, 2004 D. Mackay. Fathoming Impacts on the Marine Environment: The Crucial Contribution of Modelling SETAC North America - Portland, Oregon; November 2004 CEMC: Front left to right - Merike Perem, Eva Webster, Karen Foster, Liisa Toose, Colin Harvey, Lauren Hughes, Don Mackay. Back - Todd Gouin, Chris Warren, Rebecca Lavallée, Jennifer Hubbarde, Sasha Sud. Missing - Jon Arnot. Spring 2004 Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -8 ET&C Special Issue The following is the list of papers to be published in the upcoming special issue of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry honouring Don. The authors have all collaborated with Don. If anyone is interested in preordering an issue, they can contact the Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (SETAC), 850-469-1500, Fax 850-469-9778, [email protected]. G. Czub, M.S. McLachlan. A Food Chain Model to Predict the Levels of Lipophilic Organic Contaminants in Humans. 317. K.T. Valsaraj. Adsorption of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons at the Air-Water Interface and its Role in Atmospheric Deposition by Fog Droplets. 321. J. Chen, T. Harner, G. Ding, X. Quan, K.-W. Schramm, A. Kettrup. Universal Predictive Models on Octanol-Air Partition Coefficients at Different Temperatures for Persistent Organic Pollutants. 341. K. Breivik, B. Bjerkeng, F. Wania, A. Helland, J. Magnusson. Modeling the Fate of Polychlorinated Biphenyls in the Inner Oslo Fjord. 343. J.A. Davis. The Long-Term Fate of Polychlorinated Biphenyls in San Francisco Bay (USA). 373. D.P. French-McCay. Oil Spill Impact Modeling: Development and Validation. 382. W.J. Mills, E.R. Bennett, C.E. Schmidt, L.J. Thibodeaux. Approaches for Obtaining Quantitative Vapor Emissions Estimates of Polychlorinated Biphenyls and Other Semivolatile Organic Compounds from Contaminated Sites. 384. M. MacLeod, T. McKone. Multi-Media Persistence as an Indicator of Potential for Population-Level Intake of Environmental Contaminants. 390. M. Scheringer, F. Wegmann, K. Hungerbühler . Investigating the Mechanics of Multimedia Box Models: How to Explain Differences Between Models in Terms of Mass Fluxes. 396. T.F. Bidleman, A. Leone. Soil-Air Relationships for Toxaphene in the Southern United States. 405. E. Webster, C.E. Cowan-Ellsberry, L. McCarty. Putting Science into Persistent, Bioaccumulation, and Toxicity Evaluations. 434. J.A. Arnot, F.A.P.C. Gobas. A Food Web Bioaccumulation Model for Organic Chemicals in Aquatic Ecosystems. 438. T.P. Traas, A.P. van Wezel, J.L.M. Hermens, M. Zorn, A.G.M. van Hattum, C. J. van Leeuwen. Environmental Quality Criteria for Organic Chemicals Predicted from Internal Effect Concentrations and a Food Web Model. 441. D.C.G. Muir, C. Teixeira, F. Wania. Empirical and Modeling Evidence of Regional Atmospheric Transport of Currently Used Pesticides. 457. J. A. Berry, P.G. Wells. Integrated Fate Modeling for Exposure Assessment of Produced Water on the Sable Island Bank (Scotian Shelf, Canada). 458. D. Mackay. Finding Fugacity Feasible, Fruitful, and Fun. 465. K. Borgå, A.T. Fisk, P. F. Hoekstra, D.C.G. Muir. Biological and Chemical Factors of Importance in the Bioaccumulation and Trophic Transfer of Persistent Organochlorine Contaminants in Arctic Marine Food Webs. 518. M. Matthies, V. Berding, A. Beyer. Probabilistic Uncertainty Analysis of the European Union System for the Evaluation of Substances Multimedia Regional Distribution Model. 529. R.S. Boethling, P.H. Howard, W.M. Meylan. Finding and Estimating Chemical Property Data. 532. J.A. McGrath, T. F. Parkerton, D.M. Di Toro. Application of the Narcosis Target Lipid Model to Algal Toxicity and Deriving Predicted No-Effect Concentrations. 538. B.C. Kelly, F.A.P.C. Gobas, M.S. McLachlan. Intestinal Absorption and Biomagnification of Organic Contaminants in Fish, Wildlife, and Humans. 545. S.P. Bhavsar, M.L. Diamond ,N. Gandhi, J. Nilsen. Dynamic Coupled Metal Transport-Speciation (TRANSPEC) Model: 1 Application to Assess a Zinc Contaminated Lake. 619. Spring 2004 Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -9 Recent Publications Cahill, T.M., Mackay, D. 2003. A High-Resolution Model for Estimating the Environmental Fate of Multi-species Chemicals: Application to Malathion and Pentachlorophenol. Chemosphere. 53: 571-581. Mackay, D. 2003. Model Behaviour. Engineering Dimensions. (Published by the Professional Engineers of Ontario) Sept./Oct.: 46-49. Cousins, I.T., Mackay, D., Parkerton, T.F. 2003. “Physical-Chemical Properties and Evaluative Fate Modelling.” In: The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry. Volume 3 Anthropogenic Compounds, Part Q Phthalate Esters. Staples, C.A. (Volume Editor). Hutzinger, O. (Editor-in-Chief). Springer-Verlag, Berlin. pp 57-84. Clark, K., Cousins, I.T., Mackay, D., Yamada, K. 2003. “Observed Concentrations in the Environment.” In: The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry. Volume 3 Anthropogenic Compounds, Part Q Phthalate Esters. Staples, C.A. (Volume Editor). Hutzinger, O. (Editor-in-Chief). Springer-Verlag, Berlin. pp 125-177. Cousins, I.T., Mackay, D. 2003. “Multimedia Mass Balance Modelling of Two Phthalate Esters by the Regional Population-Based Model (RPM).” In: The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry. Volume 3 Anthropogenic Compounds, Part Q Phthalate Esters. Staples, C.A. (Volume Editor). Hutzinger, O. (Editor-in-Chief). Springer-Verlag, Berlin. pp 179-200. Clark, K., Cousins, I.T., Mackay, D. 2003. “Assessment of Critical Exposure Pathways.” In: The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry. Volume 3 Anthropogenic Compounds, Part Q Phthalate Esters. Staples, C.A. (Volume Editor). Hutzinger, O. (Editor-inChief). Springer-Verlag, Berlin. pp 227-262. Mackay, D., Webster, E., Woodfine, D., Cahill, T., Doyle, P., Couillard, Y., Gutzman, D. 2003. Towards Consistent Evaluation of the Persistence of Organic, Inorganic and Metallic Substances. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment (HERA). 9(6): 1445-1474. Cousins, I.T., Gouin, T. 2003. Vegetation-air exchanges facilitates the long-range transport of some SVOCs. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA). 17: 241-243. Jones, K.C., Sweetman, A., Mackay, D. 2004. Editorial. Environmental Pollution.128: 1-2. Gouin, T., Mackay, D., Jones, K.C., Harner, T., Meijer, S.N. 2004. Evidence for the "grasshopper" effect and fractionation during long-range atmospheric transport of organic contaminants. Environmental Pollution. 128: 139-148. Toose, L., Woodfine, D.G, MacLeod, M., Mackay, D., Gouin, J. 2004. BETR-World: A Geographically Explicit Model of Chemical Fate: Application to Transport of a-HCH to the Arctic. Environmental Pollution.128: 223-240. MacLeod, M., Mackay, D. 2004. Modeling transport and deposition of contaminants to ecosystems of concern: a case study for the Laurentian Great Lakes. Environmental Pollution. 128: 241-250. Web-Published Webster, E., Mackay, D., Di Guardo, A., Kane, D., Woodfine, D. 2004. Regional Differences in Chemical Fate Model Outcome. Chemosphere. 55: 1361-1376. In Press Mackay, D. “Fugacity.” In Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change R.E. Munn (Ed) J Wiley & Sons, NY. Mackay, D., Toose, L. Quantifying the Fate of Mercury in the Great Lakes Basin: Towards an Ecosystem Approach. Environmental Research. Warren, C. Mackay, D. 2004. A Screening Level Mass Balance Model of Sediment Remediation Options. Soil and Sediment Contamination: an International Journal. 13: 1-15 Spring 2004 Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -10 Accepted for Publication Warren, C. Mackay, D. 2004. The Role of Mass Balance Models in Offshore Environmental Effects Monitoring. Proceedings of the Offshore Oil and Gas Environmental Effects Monitoring Conference, Bedford Institute of Oceanography. Webster, E., Cowan-Ellsberry, C.E., McCarty, L. Putting science into PBT evaluations. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. Mackay, D. Finding fugacity feasible, fruitful, and fun. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. Gouin, T., Cousins, I., Mackay, D. Comparison of Two Methods for Obtaining Degradation Half-lives. Chemosphere. In Review Mackay, D., Milford, L. “Exposure Assessment and Modelling in the Aquatic Environment.” In Toxicology of Fishes. Di Guilio, R., Hinton, D., Eds. Cahill, T.M., Mackay, D. A Hypothesis Concerning the Mechanism of Bioaccumulation. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. Mackay, D. Contaminants in Polar Ecosystems. CARN. Gouin, T., Harner, T., Daly, G.L., Wania, F., Mackay, D., Jones, K.C. Seasonality of Air Concentrations of Polybrominated Diphenyl Ethers: Evidence and Mechanistic Explanation of a “Spring-Pulse” Effect. Environ. Sci. Technol. Gouin, T., Bocking, S., Mackay, D. Policy by analogy: Precautionary principle, science and polybrominated diphenyl ethers. International Journal of Global Environmental Issues. Mackay, D., Mackay, N. Mathematical Models of Chemical Transport and Fate. Chapter III.3 In Ecological Risk Assessment. Suter, G.W. (Ed.) MacLeod, M., McKone, T.E., Foster, K.L., Maddalena, R.L., Parkerton, T.F., Mackay, D. Applications of Contaminant Fate and Bioaccumulation Models in Assessing Ecological Risks of Chemicals: A Case Study for Gasoline Hydrocarbons. Environ. Sci. Technol. CEMC Reports Webster, E., Mackay, D. 2003. Defining Uncertainty and Variability in Environmental Fate Models. CEMC Report No. 200301. Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario. Webster, E., Hubbarde, J., Mackay, D. 2003. Upgrading the ChemCAN Model: Version 4.95 to 6.00. CEMC Report 200302. Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario. Webster, E., Hubbarde, J., Mackay, D., Swanston, L., Hodge, A. 2003. Development of Tools to Improve Exposure Estimation for Use in Ecological Risk Assessment: The TaPL3 Upgrade. Report to Environment Canada. CEMC Report 200303. Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario. Webster, E., Mackay, D., Hubbarde, J. A. 2003. Development of Tools to Improve Exposure Estimation for Use in Ecological Risk Assessment: Regional Risk Assessments Using ChemCAN. Report to Environment Canada. CEMC Report 200304. Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario. Webster, E., Di Guardo, A., Mackay, D., Buckley, J. A., Hughes, L., Hubbarde, J. 2003. Development of Tools to Improve Exposure Estimation for Use in Ecological Risk Assessment: Multimedia Models for Sludge-Amended Soils: A Feasibility Study. Report to Environment Canada. CEMC Report 200305. Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario. In Review Woodfine, D. Mackay, D. 2001. Evaluation of Partitioning and Persistence of Organic Substances on Environment Canada's Domestic Substances List. Report to Environment Canada. CEMC Report 2001xx. Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario. Spring 2004 Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Page -11 Contact Details Don Mackay tel: 705-748-1011 ext.1489; email: [email protected] Eva Webster tel: 705-748-1005; email: [email protected] fax: 705-748-1080 http://www.trentu.ca/cemc Researchers and Staff at CEMC Director Dr. Don Mackay [email protected] Graduate Students - Watershed Ecosystems (PhD) Chris Warren (M.Sc) [email protected] Todd Gouin (M. Sc) [email protected] Graduate Students - Watershed Ecosystems (M.Sc.) Liisa Toose (B.Sc.) [email protected] Assistant Director Eva Webster (M.Sc.) [email protected] Research Scientists Karen Foster (B.Sc.) Jon Arnot (M.Sc.) Merike Perem (B.Sc.) [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Research Staff Jennifer Hubbarde, Lauren Hughes Colin Harvey, Rebecca Lavallée, Sasha Sud Telephone Extensions from Trent University’s Automated Switchboard 705-748-1011 Don Mackay 1489 Jon Arnot, Merike Perem, Sasha Sud Karen Foster, Lauren Hughes, Colin Harvey Chris Warren, Liisa Toose, Todd Gouin Jennifer Hubbarde, Rebecca Lavallée 1645 1056 5341 1005 Eva Webster is at the CEMC’s direct line 705-748-1005
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