I NVEST WITH CONFIDENCE. ASSUMPTION LIFE I S S U E 1 0 , V O L U M E 1 - 4 th Q u a r t e r 2 0 07 Economic Indicators THIS MONTH... Page 1 • Economic Indicators • Financial Markets Bonds, on the other hand, had a very strong month and are Page 2 now back into positive territory as • Investment Funds’ the crisis increased expectations Performance of lower interest rates. The U.S. Federal Reserve did hold the Page 3 • Financial Planning Fed funds rate in check at their & You August 4th meeting, citing inflation as their primary concern. Page 4 However, on August 17th, • Announcing New Investment Funds after most liquidity indicators • Market Index showed a considerable amount Performance Chart of stress in the system, the Fed lowered another key rate, the discount rate, in order to provide some much needed relief to credit markets. Financial Markets August saw the subprime crisis continue to spread to other credit and equity markets creating a high level of risk aversion in global financial markets. Needless to say, it was a difficult period for equities even with a significant rebound in the latter part of the month. Despite the decline in August, the S&P/TSX still remains in positive territory for the year, outperforming both U.S. and EAFE markets. UPDATES Assumption Life is expanding its family with 12 new funds. (see last page) The Fund Managers now believe the Fed may have to ease the Fed funds rate by as much as 75 basis points while The Bank of Canada should stay on hold for the rest of the year. Even though U.S. GDP growth may now decelerate, as low as 1% for a short period of time, we still do not believe the housing/sub-prime issue will trigger a recession. Most likely the Fed will respond with lower rates to offset the tightening that occurred due to the liquidity crisis. Clearly, the Fed does not want a recession at this stage of the business cycle given that the U.S. economy is operating below potential, inflation is falling, and the housing market is weak. They strongly believe that Congress, the Fed, and other world central banks, will bring confidence back into the credit markets in the near future. There were no changes to asset mix in July with our balanced portfolios remaining overweight in equities. Our short term view has changed somewhat in that we anticipate increased volatility. The Fund Managers expect it will take several months for the impact of the liquidity crisis to clear but markets should at some point start to focus on recovery after digesting all of the negative news. Over the mid to long term, they still view equity markets as attractive; earnings are rising while inflation is generally well contained and should keep falling with recent events. All major equity Markets decreased in value during the month of August except the SCM Universe Bond Index that indicates 0.1%. The S&P/TSX -0.1%, the S&P 500 -2.9% and the MSCI EAFE had a return of -1.3%. ASSUMPTION LIFE I S S U E 1 0 , V O L U M E 1 - 4 th Q u a r t e r 2 0 07 Investment Funds’ Performance as of August 31, 2007 1 Month % Funds Name ASSUMPTION LIFE FUNDS 0.83 Assumption Balanced Fund - A 0.72 Assumption Balanced Fund - B 0.74 Assumption Balanced Fund - C 2.37 Canadian Equity Fund - A 2.26 Canadian Equity Fund - B 2.28 Canadian Equity Fund - C -1.53 U.S. Equity Fund - A -1.65 U.S. Equity Fund - B -1.63 U.S. Equity Fund - C CI FUNDS Canadian Bond Fund - A 1.38 Canadian Bond Fund - B 1.36 Canadian Bond Fund - C Global Balanced Corporate Class Fund - A Global Balanced Corporate Class Fund - B Global Balanced Corporate Class Fund - C Global Managers® Corporate Class Fund - A Global Managers® Corporate Class Fund - B Global Managers® Corporate Class Fund - C Harbour Growth & Income Fund - A Harbour Growth & Income Fund - B Harbour Growth & Income Fund - C Synergy American Fund - A Synergy American Fund - B Synergy American Fund - C FIDELITY FUNDS Canadian Opportunities Fund - A Canadian Opportunities Fund - B Canadian Opportunities Fund - C European Fund - A European Fund - B European Fund - C Focus Health Care Fund - A Focus Health Care Fund - B Focus Health Care Fund - C Focus Technology Fund - A Focus Technology Fund - B Focus Technology Fund - C Overseas Fund - A Overseas Fund - B Overseas Fund - C True North® Fund - A True North® Fund - B True North® Fund - C MONTRUSCO BOLTON FUNDS Canadian Equity + Fund - A Canadian Equity + Fund - B Canadian Equity + Fund - C Can. Small Cap. Equity Fund - A Can. Small Cap. Equity Fund - B Can. Small Cap. Equity Fund - C E.A.F.E. Equity Fund - A E.A.F.E. Equity Fund - B E.A.F.E. Equity Fund - C Fixed Income Fund - A Fixed Income Fund - B Fixed Income Fund - C Global Equity Fund - A Global Equity Fund - B Global Equity Fund - C T-Max Fund - A T-Max Fund - B T-Max Fund - C TSX 100 Momentum Fund - A TSX 100 Momentum Fund - B TSX 100 Momentum Fund - C 3 Months % YTD % 1 Year % 3 Years % 5 Years % Inception -1.30 -1.76 -1.71 -2.05 -2.36 -2.31 -1.49 -1.83 -1.78 -0.55 -1.56 -1.42 1.68 0.81 0.96 -4.21 -5.09 -4.95 4.83 3.30 3.53 9.88 8.49 8.72 9.94 8.43 8.66 7.14 5.67 5.90 15.15 13.69 13.93 2.88 1.46 1.68 6.73 5.39 5.61 12.72 11.41 11.65 -0.30 -1.19 -0.98 5.40 3.58 3.81 10.24 8.48 8.67 -3.96 -5.42 -5.22 -0.02 -0.09 -0.87 -1.04 -0.16 -0.43 2.28 2.01 2.85 2.57 3.01 2.67 1.38 -0.48 -0.59 -0.57 -0.89 -1.00 -0.98 1.83 1.73 1.75 0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -3.46 -3.77 -3.72 -4.66 -4.97 -4.92 -2.44 -2.72 -2.67 -4.57 -4.87 -4.82 -0.90 -5.88 -6.67 -6.54 -5.32 -6.13 -5.99 2.11 1.32 1.47 -3.51 -4.32 -4.19 -0.21 7.48 6.12 6.34 8.31 6.94 7.17 8.28 7.03 7.25 11.03 9.63 9.86 2.23 5.37 4.03 4.25 6.75 5.39 5.62 13.31 11.99 12.23 N/A N/A N/A 2.79 4.93 3.60 3.82 5.38 4.04 4.26 10.02 8.74 8.97 N/A N/A N/A 2.89 -3.65 -0.73 -0.52 -1.14 -0.85 -0.64 9.19 7.87 8.10 N/A N/A N/A 0.23 0.12 0.14 -0.23 -0.33 -0.32 0.56 0.44 0.46 0.90 0.79 0.80 1.73 1.62 1.64 1.77 1.67 1.68 -2.62 -2.93 -2.88 -2.97 -3.28 -3.23 -4.41 -4.73 -4.68 2.91 2.56 2.62 -3.31 -3.62 -3.57 -0.51 -0.83 -0.77 4.77 3.88 4.03 4.86 3.97 4.12 -5.92 -6.75 -6.62 0.21 -0.68 -0.54 -4.15 -4.96 -4.83 7.35 6.44 6.59 12.28 10.86 11.10 26.49 24.89 25.15 1.03 -0.30 -0.09 16.50 14.97 15.21 16.28 14.81 15.06 20.48 18.96 19.21 15.22 13.75 14.00 21.12 19.58 19.83 3.25 1.88 2.10 7.21 5.79 6.02 N/A N/A N/A 20.59 19.06 19.31 14.67 13.21 13.45 12.12 10.70 10.93 0.63 -0.71 -0.49 6.84 5.42 5.65 N/A N/A N/A 16.12 14.64 14.88 10.28 10.84 11.07 4.89 3.28 3.52 -3.27 -4.38 -4.17 -9.00 -5.92 -5.72 14.79 13.34 8.18 9.13 10.26 10.50 2.37 2.23 2.25 2.07 1.95 1.97 -0.62 -0.74 -0.72 1.31 1.31 1.33 -1.08 -1.19 -1.18 0.27 0.20 0.21 3.86 3.72 3.74 -2.04 -2.42 -2.37 -2.92 -3.25 -3.19 -5.87 -6.20 -6.15 -0.10 -0.09 -0.03 -4.77 -5.10 -5.05 0.66 0.56 0.61 6.07 5.66 5.71 1.19 0.15 0.30 5.55 4.62 4.77 -8.57 -9.41 -9.28 -1.30 -1.26 -1.12 -7.71 -8.56 -8.43 1.75 1.28 1.40 17.45 16.25 16.41 9.40 7.73 7.96 14.39 12.88 13.12 3.23 1.81 2.03 -0.75 -0.70 -0.49 4.45 3.02 3.23 2.66 2.23 2.44 34.17 32.12 32.40 15.75 13.98 14.22 20.59 19.00 19.25 4.37 2.94 3.16 1.96 1.73 1.94 3.83 2.40 2.62 1.85 1.38 1.58 34.54 32.48 32.76 15.23 13.62 13.87 19.21 17.64 17.89 3.64 2.27 2.49 2.99 2.87 3.09 2.05 0.94 1.16 1.65 1.18 1.38 24.69 22.71 22.97 9.98 12.06 12.30 13.76 16.19 16.43 2.30 -1.35 -1.14 4.49 3.17 3.39 -0.43 -2.90 -2.69 2.14 1.09 1.29 15.93 17.84 18.09 A - No-load contract established prior to 2002 B - No-load contract established since 2002 C - Back-end load contract established since 2002 The information folder contains important information on the funds. Read it carefully and consult your investment representative before investing. Except for any guarantee applicable upon death or maturity, any fraction of the premium or any amount allocated to a segregated fund is invested at the subscriber’s risk. Their value may increase or decrease according to market fluctuations of fund assets. Information on performance reflects past returns and does not guarantee future returns. I NVEST WITH CONFIDENCE. Financial planning & you. Denis Losier, President and CEO, Assumption Life Private Equity: The Investment World’s Rising Star If you’ve been reading the business section of your newspaper over the last year, you’ve probably noticed a recurring subject: private equity. Recently there has been a lot of talk about the possible sale of BCE Inc., the largest telecommunications company in Canada, to a group of private equity firms. And in May, the news that Chrysler, the third largest American carmaker, had been sold to a U.S.-based private equity group made headlines. Although private equity has been consistently evolving in the United States over the past few decades, Canada’s market is fairly new, with most investors and fund managers entering this asset class during the last 10 to 15 years. Today, with investment amounts reaching new records— $9.2 billion in 2005 in Canada and US $110 billion in 2004 in the United States1—private equity is considered an alternative asset class for investors. 1 In general terms, private equity represents investments in private companies, typically in equity securities issued by those companies. These types of investments can be made at different stages of the life cycle of the company. Investments made at the development stage are referred to as venture capital, whereas the hot-off-the-presses deals we hear about are usually buyouts of companies that are already well established in their industry and have an interesting potential for return on investment. If the company bought was public, it becomes private and therefore will no longer be listed on the stock exchange, thus reducing the investment options of equity mutual fund managers and individual investors with stock portfolios. The advantages associated with private equity are surely in great part responsible for its rising popularity over the years. When a company is listed on the stock exchange, it incurs various business and compliance costs. A private company doesn’t have all those obligations. It doesn’t have to meet analysts’ expectations on a quarterly basis or give guidance, which can sometimes have a negative impact on stock prices, so its managers have more time and money to focus on growth. That, in part, explains the better return that has been seen over many years in the private equity sector compared to publicly traded stocks. So why doesn’t everybody invest in private equity funds? The main reason is simply accessibility. Typically, to be able to invest in a private equity fund, the minimum investment required varies from $5 million to $50 million and more. That is why it is mostly institutional investors who participate in these funds. However, although individual investors may not have such amounts available for investment, they may be exposed to private equity indirectly. Kensington Capital Partners, http://kcpl.ca/private_equity/market_growth The big pension plans have taken notice of the potential of private equity and have started to include this asset class in their portfolios. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan, the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec, and the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System (OMERS) all have investments in private equity funds that may benefit their members. We are also starting to see private equity firms that offer private equity funds that are more accessible to the retail market. One Canadian outfit offers a fund with a minimum investment requirement of $25,000, a far cry from $5 million! Another way for individuals to participate in the growth generated by private equity firms is to buy their stock on the stock market. Canada’s largest private equity firm, Onex Corporation, is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. We have not seen the last of the headlines about private equity firms buying large corporations. With large amounts of money already available in private equity funds just waiting to be invested, company buyouts will continue. Just as real estate, private equity is considered an alternative asset class that investors should explore to see if it fits in their overall investment strategy. Denis Losier is President and CEO of Assumption Life. He prepared this article in collaboration with Marc André Castonguay, marketing and financial planning specialist with Assumption Life. ASSUMPTION LIFE I S S U E 1 0 , V O L U M E 1 - 4 th Q u a r t e r 2 0 07 Adding More Zest to Our Already Spicy Selection of Funds. At Assumption Life we’re spicing things up with 12 new funds for you! From international to small cap funds, our diversified mix is what you need to complete your portfolio. AGF has been added to our list of well-known fund managers, so now you can access even more of the best! So, spice up your portfolio with the funds that suit your investment style! Call your financial advisor today to learn more. OUR 12 NEW FUNDS • Assumption/Fidelity NorthStar® Fund • Assumption/CI Synergy Global Corporate Class • Assumption/Fidelity Monthly Income Fund • Assumption/CI Global Small Companies • Assumption/Fidelity Canadian Asset Allocation Fund • Assumption/AGF Dividend Income Fund • Assumption/Fidelity American Disciplined Equity® Fund • Assumption/AGF US Value Class • Assumption/CI Signature High Income • Assumption/AGF Global Financial Services Class • Assumption/CI American Value • Assumption/AGF International Stock Class MARKET INDEX PERFORMANCE as of August 31, 2007 Index Dow Jones ($ CDN) YTD -2.84% 1 year 11.63% 3 years 1.75% 5 years 0.88% 10 years 2.92% MSCI EAFE ($ CDN) Nasdaq ($ CDN) -2.29% -2.55% 13.79% 13.50% 13.98% 4.26% 11.03% 6.00% 5.45% 2.21% S&P 500 ($ CDN) S&P/TSX -5.79% 5.83% 7.71% 13.14% 2.31% 17.70% 1.75% 15.62% 2.23% 7.53% Source - Globefund.com Call us today. 1-800-455-7337
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