dqwdw www.islington.gov.uk Islington Local Economic Assessment Working Towards a Fairer Islington 2011 SUMMARY VERSION Contents Page Chapter 1 - Introduction 3 Chapter 2 – Economic Context 4 Chapter 3 - Business and Enterprise 6 Section 1 - Structure of the Local Economy 6 Section 2 - Business Needs 8 Section 3 – Land and Buildings 10 Chapter 4 – People, Communities and Labour Market 11 Section 1 – Population – ‘Two Islingtons’ 11 Section 2 - Labour Market and Worklessness 13 Section 3 – Skills and Educational Attainment 15 Chapter 5 – Sustainable Economic Growth 16 Section 1 - Economy and Environment 16 Section 2 – Transport Provision and Other Infrastructure 17 Section 3 - Housing 19 Section 4 – Crime 21 Chapter 6 –Competitiveness & Future Prospects 22 Chapter 1 – Introduction What is the Purpose of the Local Economic Assessment? Islington’s dynamic and diverse economy provides a vital function within the borough, and has far reaching connections within London and beyond. Understanding the structure of the economy and recent trends helps to determine what measures can be taken to support business and how a successful economy can benefit residents and the borough as a whole. To date there has been relatively little of this kind of analysis. The Islington Local Economic Assessment (LEA) seeks to fill that gap. Despite rises in real incomes arising from economic growth, the UK has become a more unequal society with a range of damaging consequences 1 . These have been as apparent in Islington as much as anywhere. In understanding how best to promote economic growth, it is also important to determine how this can lead to a more prosperous and fairer borough. The local economy is however intertwined with broader economic structural conditions, many of which are beyond the control of the Council and its partners, although it may be possible to influence certain issues through engagement on a London-wide and national level. Within this context the key objectives for the LEA are to: Review the characteristics and factors affecting Islington’s economy. Identify the comparative strengths and weaknesses of the local economy and the nature of local economic challenges and opportunities. Identify the prospects and risks to delivering sustainable economic growth and a fairer Islington. Help to inform the actions necessary to achieve the objectives of the Council and its partners. The LEA will help to ensure that policy making is based around a shared understanding of local economic challenges, which is particularly important at this time of public sector funding cuts. The LEA supplements the work of the Islington Fairness Commission and the conclusions set out in its Final Report. The LEA will enable the Council to better understand the implications of new government proposals such as Business Rate Retention and changes to national planning policy. How has the LEA come about? The Local Democracy, Economic Development and Construction Act 2009 sets out a duty on Local Authorities to carry out a Local Economic Assessment. Central London Forward (CLF) have produced an assessment of the Central London Economy which will inform further versions of the London Plan and the Mayor of London’s strategies for Economic Development and Transport. The Islington LEA builds on this providing a more detailed assessment of the local economy. How has the LEA been developed? The LEA has been developed by an inter-disciplinary Working Group and has been overseen by the Council’s Corporate Regeneration Board. It has also been informed by discussions with a range of groups including the Islington Strategic Partnership Social and Wellbeing Sub-Group and Islington Business Board and draws from the results of the Islington Business Survey 2010. The LEA brings together and updates existing economic evidence combined with analysis of new information and data, much of which is available at: http://www.islington.gov.uk/Community/councilabout/ 1 Wilkinson R and Pickett K, The Spirit Level, Why Equality is Better for Everyone, 2009 3 Chapter 2 – Economic Context Introduction Islington is located in the heart of London the dominant driver in the UK economy and a key centre of global economic activity. Central London is the largest and most productive centre of employment in Britain. The borough is adjacent to the City of London to the south, and has important connections with neighbouring boroughs Camden to the west, Haringey to the north and Hackney to the east where there are a number of significant development sites. Key Findings The borough’s location and its good transport links has made it an attractive location for businesses which have good access to suppliers, customers and a large labour market to draw from. The south part of the borough forms part of London’s Central Activities Zone, the city’s geographic, economic and administrative core. This area of Islington includes the greatest concentration of employment uses, with some firms providing a supporting role for the Central London economy. The borough’s arterial routes, notably the A1 (Upper Street/ Holloway Road) and Pentonville Road/ City Road and Seven Sisters Road are also focal points for economic activity. Islington’s town centres at Angel, Nags Head and Archway provide key shopping areas for the borough, although parts of Islington also fall within catchment areas of town centres in neighbouring boroughs. The borough will be affected by the redevelopment the Kings Cross Central site, as well as a range of other proposals, including those at Bishopsgate Goods Yard, the Olympic site/ Stratford City and Cricklewood/Brent Cross. Conclusions Islington’s connections with the rest of London and beyond mean that its fortunes are closely tied with the London economy and wider markets. Overall prospects for Central London appear good as its specialisms range across the growth sectors of the global economy. Islington is working with neighbouring authorities to support economic growth at Finsbury Park and the Seven Sisters Corridor, Archway, Kings Cross, Farringdon and Old Street, as well as developing stronger links with Dalston. The Council can play a role in working with other boroughs and developers to maximise opportunities for businesses and residents from significant new developments within and outside the borough, as well as taking steps to ensure that Islington remains an attractive location for investment. Further Information Mayor of London’s Economic Development Strategy and Evidence Base 2010 http://www.lda.gov.uk/publications-and-media/publications/eds.aspx London Plan Review Draft Consultation Plan (2009) http://www.london.gov.uk/shaping-london/london-plan/ Central London Economic Assessment 2010, Central London Forward http://www.centrallondonforward.gov.uk/work-programme/economy/lea/ North London Development and Investment Framework 2010 http://www.lda.gov.uk/projects/north-london/index.aspx 4 Economic Context Plan Source: London Borough of Islington, Spatial Planning and Transport 2011 5 Chapter 3 – Business and Enterprise Section 1 - Structure of Local Economy Introduction Islington’s dynamic economy provides a vital function within and beyond the borough. Businesses provide goods and services, employment and trade and form an inherent part of the character of the area. It is important to understand the structure of the economy, recent trends and how this compares with other areas to determine what measures can be taken to support business and how a successful economy can benefit the local area. Key Findings Islington is home to over 10,000 businesses, most of which have fewer than 20 employees. The number of businesses in Islington has remained broadly similar over the last 5 years but with slight fluctuations in the intervening period. The number of employee jobs located in businesses in Islington has continually increased over the last 10 years. Data shows that there were 161,000 jobs in Islington in April 2008 which has increased to 176,117 in April 2010. It is estimated that approximately 30% of jobs are held by Islington residents. VAT data shows that Islington has a relatively stable number of businesses but has a higher ‘churn rate’ than England and the UK. Islington has been gradually losing its share of businesses when compared to other geographical areas over the last 10 years. Whilst Inner London and London have been losing share as well over this period, Islington has been losing share of businesses at a faster rate. The share of employees has however increased, albeit marginally. Islington has the highest proportion of employment in knowledge driven sectors of Central London boroughs and has seen the greatest growth in this area increasing from 41% of total employment in 1998 to 54% in 2008 2 . The top five sectors in Islington (in terms of number of employee jobs) are: -Real estate, renting and business activities -Financial intermediation -Health and social work -Manufacturing (including publishing and printing) -Wholesale and retail trade Some sectors (construction, hotels and restaurants, community and social care) make up a higher proportion of enterprises but a smaller number of employee jobs. Other sectors (financial intermediation, real estate renting and business activities, health and social work) make up a smaller proportion of enterprises but provide a larger number of jobs. Islington has a higher proportion of jobs in real estate, renting & business activities and financial intermediation than England, London and Inner London. Islington has a lower proportion of jobs in construction, other community & social care and hotels & restaurants than England, London and Inner London. The borough has a thriving creative sector which has grown by 47% since 1999. 2 Knowledge-based services (telecommunications, computing, research and development, finance and business services, and recreational and cultural services) are particularly significant in Islington. The knowledge based sector cuts across the Standard Industrial Classifications used by government – see next bullet point. 6 Sectors in Islington and Share of Business and Jobs Sector Construction Education Financial intermediation Health and social work Hotels and restaurants Manufacturing Other community, social & personal service activities Public administration and defence; compulsory social security Real estate, renting and business activities Transport, storage and communication Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household goods Other - agriculture, fishing, electricity supply % of enterprises 4.82% 3.25% 2.54% 8.76% 10.25% 8.34% % of employees 1.36% 6.61% 12.13% 11.25% 5.69% 9.44% enterprises rank 7 9 10 4 3 5 employees rank 11 6 2 3 8 4 12.87% 6.53% 2 7 0.55% 3.50% 12 10 28.01% 29.64% 1 1 4.48% 5.15% 8 9 14.95% 8.44% 6 5 1.17% 0.26% 11 12 Source: Beta Model April 2010 A number of major charities and voluntary organisations are located in Islington. Employment in this sector has increased by 41% since 2003 to approximately 9000 people. Islington is home to three designated town centres, Angel, Archway and Nag’s Head. These make up the bulk of Islington’s shopping and retail offer and represent 9.6% of Islington’s businesses and 9.1% of Islington’s employee jobs. The number of businesses in town centres peaked in 2005, although the number of employees has increased by 34% since 2003. Conclusions Islington’s economy remains buoyant with continued employment growth, albeit the number of businesses in Islington has been relatively stable in recent years. Islington has a particularly high proportion of jobs in knowledge based services such as business and financial services, which largely, although not entirely, require high levels of skills and qualifications. Health and social work, manufacturing (including publishing and printing) and wholesale and retail also remain significant sources of employment, although with the exception of retail, each of these sectors is predicted to decline within London over the next twenty years. The Council and its partners can play an important role in supporting business growth which will be particularly important in light of the government’s proposals for Business Rate Retention. Growth is predicted in the services, hotel, restaurant and retail sectors across London which should be considered as a focus for training and support. Further Information Nomis Official Labour Market Statistics - Islington https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431865/report.aspx Borough Statistics – Economy and Employment http://www.islington.gov.uk/Council/councilabout/economyandemployment.asp 7 Chapter 3, Section 2 - Business Needs Introduction This review of business needs in Islington is based on the results of the Islington Business Survey 2010 which drew 563 responses from businesses across the borough. This section also reviews business support services provided by the Council. Key Findings Three quarters (76%) of businesses were very or fairly satisfied with Islington as a place to do business and only 7% were dissatisfied with the area. The top three positive qualities of the area for businesses were its central location, access to transport routes and proximity to customers. “Islington is a vibrant progressive area with some positive changes taking place which hopefully with attract different types of businesses to make it a more diverse area.” Source: Comment from a small business - Islington Business Survey 2010 When asked to describe current challenges or problems that businesses may be facing parking was the most frequently occurring response. More affordable premises, less Council ‘red tape’ and more business support and advice were mentioned as issues that would most improve business. Most businesses (60%) did not identify any skills gap in their current workforce. The most commonly mentioned skills gaps were advanced IT and software skills (12%), customer service skills (12%), communication skills (11%) and strategic management skills (11%) and foreign language skills (9%). Approximately 60% of recruiting businesses identified skills gaps in applicants. Candidates most commonly lacked communication and customer service skills. A third of businesses said they would consider taking on an apprentice/trainee (35%) or offer work experience to school students (34%). A quarter of businesses are likely to increase staffing levels in the coming 12 months compared to only one in ten that say staffing levels are likely to reduce. Hard to recruit occupations referred to by businesses who experienced recruitment difficulties in the previous 12 Months Managers and Senior officials 40% Professional and technical Other 30% occupations 20% Process, plant and machine operatives 10% 0% Sales and customer service positions Administrative and secretarial positions Professional and technical occupations Personal service occupations Skilled trades occupations Source: Islington Business Survey, 2010 8 Over the past 12 months almost three fifths (58%) of businesses had tried to recruit staff. Even amongst the smallest sized businesses nearly two in five (38%) had tried to recruit, rising to 100% of the largest businesses. Of those businesses that reported difficulties in recruitment – 130 in total – the occupation most commonly reported as hard to recruit was sales and customer service positions, followed by professional and technical occupations, managers and senior officials and administrative and secretarial positions. Analysis of vacancies advertised through Job Centre Plus over the last year shows that the occupational groups most in demand were elementary occupations (20%), sales and customer services (19%), professional and technical occupations (16%) and skilled trades (12%). Conclusions The survey indicates that most local businesses find Islington a good place to do business. The central location, access to transport and good local amenities were the most commonly mentioned positive features of the locality. Small businesses in particular mentioned parking as a local issue, and the high cost of premises and business rates are a problem for some. Generally local businesses can find suitably skilled labour and do not experience significant difficulties in recruiting staff. Communication skills and customer service skills are the most commonly identified skills gap amongst existing staff and applicants. The hardest occupation to recruit was sales and customer service positions. With appropriate training, these sectors may present opportunities for employment for local people. More than half the local businesses would consider trainee or apprenticeship, work experience or other developmental opportunities for young people. This is an opportunity that the council is following up. Islington currently provides a range of support for businesses including town centre management and it operates the Islington Business Partnership to enable business needs to be heard. More affordable premises and less ‘red tape’ were seen as key interventions that could help businesses to be more successful. An Apprentice and Contractor at work Further Information Islington Business Needs Survey – Summary of Results October 2010 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Community/councilabout/economyandemployment.asp 9 Chapter 3, Section 3 – Land and Buildings Introduction The availability and suitability of employment land and business premises is an important factor determining the success of the local economy. Despite the downturn caused by the recent recession, the number of people working in Islington is expected to continue to increase over the next 20 years, creating a need for sufficient employment land to accommodate this. Key findings Additional employment is likely to be concentrated in service sectors, with modest or negative growth in Islington’s more traditional industries. Despite strong demand, employment land has been lost to residential uses in recent years, reflecting the high commercial value attached to residential development and intensification of employment activity. Past trends have impacted on certain sectors, as well as smaller firms, by reducing the supply of lower-cost, more affordable workspaces available locally. The availability of more affordable premises was the most commonly raised factor (42% of businesses) by businesses within the Islington Business Survey 2010 that would make them more successful. The government are consulting on proposals to allow conversion of business premises to residential uses without needing planning permission. This has raised significant concerns for a range of reasons including the reduction in the supply of affordable business premises that is likely to occur. How to make business in Islington more successful - Opinion “Build more business premises (and) affordable office premises. Encourage more people to work from home without having to pay any business rates as cashflow might be difficult.” Source: Comment from a small business, Business Needs Survey 2010 Conclusions In order to address these issues, the council should support economic development by ensuring that a range of types and sizes of employment spaces are provided to meet future demand, allowing the redevelopment and expansion of employment land. The Council will achieve this through its Core Strategy policies which will be used to support the creation of a strong and diverse local economy which provides range of employment opportunities for residents. The council could also proactively address gaps in the market for particular types of workspace by working with the third sector and existing providers of affordable workspace. The types of workspaces that the council could support the delivery of include: - Industrial units - Workspaces for small and micro enterprises - Studios and workshops for light manufacturing and cultural sectors, and - Incubator units for knowledge based firms in specialist clusters. Further Information Islington Core Strategy 2011 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/p ol_corestrat/default.asp 10 Chapter 4 – People, Communities and Labour Market Section 1 – Population – Two Islingtons Introduction The characteristics of Islington’s population influences a number of factors that are considered within this LEA, such as local custom for businesses, the nature of its workforce, the extent of worklessness, and pressures placed on infrastructure and other resources. Islington’s population displays extreme economic and social polarisation, to the extent that it is said that there are “two Islingtons”. Demographics Islington has the second highest population density in the country with a population of approximately 212,000 people in an area of under 15km2. The population is relatively youthful with an unusually large proportion of 20-35 year olds, many of whom have moved into the borough having found - or in search of - employment in London. There are fewer children and older people in Islington than in London as a whole, and significantly fewer than the national average. Over a quarter of residents come from BME communities and a further fifth are white but non-British. Three-quarters of Islington’s population (73%) is of working age, which is greater than the proportion in London (67%) and England (62%). Since 2001 the population of the borough has grown by 11%, and is predicted to increase by a further 12% by 2026. A significant proportion of Islington residents are social housing tenants (44%) while 32% of residents are owner occupiers and 24% are rent privately. Form of Tenure in Islington Households (2007) 24% 44% 32% Social tenant Owner occupier Private renting Source: Housing Needs Assessment survey, 2007 (n=2,300) Deprivation and poverty Islington is ranked as the 14th most deprived local authority area in England (out of 354). It is the 5th most deprived borough in London. 53% of Islington’s population lives in an area defined as deprived. Only ten other authorities have a higher proportion of their population living in deprived local areas. There are nearly 28,000 people of working age claiming benefits, of whom a quarter claim Job Seekers Allowance. A higher proportion of Islington residents claim benefits (19%) than the London (15%) and national averages (15%). 11 42% of children are dependent on parents who claim out of work benefits – the second highest level of child poverty in the country. Earnings, Income and Debt Median household income in the borough at £32,000, is lower than the London average but is higher than the national average. This equates to a gross annual income of the local population of some £4 billion. Around one in six households have an annual gross income of over £60,000 but a similar proportion has a gross income of under £15,000. Over 11,000 residents have debts of between £5-15,000 and a further 13,000 people have unsecured debts exceeding £15,000. Experiences of poverty and inequality in Islington “I would prefer not to have debt but it’s inevitable when you’ve got four kids. It pays for clothes for them or a new cooker.” Interview of woman with children “It is really noticeable living here what you don’t have, that makes it hard”. Interview of woman with children. “In Islington, you have very much the haves and have-nots. ... There are communities with very obvious wealth - cars and large houses - and communities in very obvious deprivation. This proximity between one extreme of wealth and one extreme of poverty creates its own problems.” Stakeholder Interview Source: Invisible Islington: Living in Poverty in Inner London, Cripplegate Foundation. Conclusions Islington’s resident population is characterised by a relatively large, youthful, mobile and skilled working population. This is largely fuelled by highly qualified people in their twenties moving into the area. Those who are employed can expect to earn above average pay, though there is a sizable minority of working residents on low incomes, and an equally large minority who are who are unable to access the labour market. The population has a significant gross annual income which generates custom for local businesses. However income and opportunity is not equally spread within the borough with the range of pay for full time employees varying enormously. Poor health and housing issues affect people’s ability to work and levels of poverty and deprivation within the borough. High population density has implications for the level of demand on infrastructure and resources such as open spaces and influences crime levels (see next Chapter). Further Information Islington Fairness Commission Final Report (2011) http://www.islington.gov.uk/council/councilfairness/ Two Islingtons: Understanding the Problem. What is the picture for Islington? Overview and Strategy Paper http://www.islington.gov.uk/Council/councilfairness/fairnessmeet/01meeting2007. asp Invisible Islington: Living in Poverty in Inner London http://www.cripplegate.org/reports-publications/publications#invisible Closing the Gap – Tackling Health Inequalities in Islington 2010-2030. http://www.islington.nhs.uk/islington-health-inequalities-strategy-complete.htm 12 Chapter 4, Section 2 - Labour Market and Worklessness Introduction The labour market is the demand for labour by employers and the potential supply of people of working age. Islington-based businesses draw on labour from within and beyond Islington, while many Islington residents work for employers (and seek employment) outside of the borough. Many local people face barriers in finding and retaining employment at a level that sustains economic independence and family life. It is important to consider how public services within Islington can assist local people to overcome those barriers. Key Findings Two thirds of the working age population (100,200) are currently employed (or self-employed). This is lower than the proportion in London and nationally. Most working Islington residents (70%) work in managerial, professional or technical occupations – a significantly higher proportion than elsewhere in London and nationally. Conversely, Islington residents are less likely to work in unskilled or semi-skilled trades and occupations. Occupation profile of employed Islington residents 25 Percentage 20 15 10 8Machine operatives London 7 Sales and customer service 5 Skilled trades Islington 6 Personal service occupations 4 Admin & secretarial 3 Professional & technical 2 Professional occupations 1 Managers and senior officials 0 9 Unskilled roles 5 Great Britian Source: ONS Annual Population Survey (2009) Approximately 30% of Islington residents work within the borough and 40% work in Westminster, Camden or the City of London. The largest net inflows of workers are from Hackney and Camden. In 2009/10 74% of Islington’s working age population were counted as economically active, whereas 26% were economically inactive – this is higher than the London (25%) and the UK rate (24%). Employment rates by gender reflect the regional picture – with more men than women being employed. Almost one fifth of residents (19%) aged 16-64 (nearly 28,000) are claiming out of work benefits which is far higher that in London (15%) and Great Britain (15%). 13 Job Seekers Allowance is claimed by 7,675 people (5.2% of the working age population). Experiences of Worklessness in Islington “I miss work. It’s frustrating doing nothing, it’s just a waste. I don’t want to be out of work. I have always worked; I am used to working and being stimulated and involved and I miss that.” Single man, aged 60 “I should be working, doing something to take me out of the home. School holidays are the issue. Even to work part time would mean fundamental changes to the family structure. There aren’t the kinds of jobs that suit my skills that suit children’s hours.” Woman with children “I would like to have my own business but I can’t because I cannot speak English.” Man in his 30s/40s Sam was born at the Royal Free in Islington and – just like her mother and grandmother - has lived in the area all her life. She has a young son and lives with her husband, who, following a serious accident, is on Incapacity Benefit. Sam was recently diagnosed with type 1 diabetes and has struggled to get her insulin dosage right, suffering at times several hypoglycaemic fits a day. This has forced her to leave her part-time job on a market stall and rely on benefit income. It has also made her life chaotic and left Sam feeling frightened about the impact of her condition on her life and her future. Based on interviews with a mother with ill health Source: Invisible Islington: Living in Poverty in Inner London, Cripplegate Foundation. Conclusions While a significant proportion of working Islington residents are in highly skilled occupations, a sizable minority of working residents are on low incomes. The extent of worklessness remains a key issue and this will be further affected by a range of changing circumstances including the impacts of the recession, public sector funding cuts and reforms to welfare provision. The Council and its partners undertake a range of measures to address worklessness. The continuation of these is however affected by public sector funding constraints and the move to a Single Work Programme. The Council and its partners need to continue to work with business to create the conditions that will enable future employment growth. In return businesses have a vital role to play creating more opportunities for out of work residents such as apprenticeship schemes. A Single Employer Face is being established in the borough to coordinate and facilitate the brokering of opportunities for employment, work experience, training, apprenticeships, paid internships, volunteering and corporate social activity. A key step that the Council can take is to demonstrate the benefits of employing out of work residents, enabling businesses to take advantage of subsidies that arise from tax credits. Further Information Labour Market Profiles from NOMIS https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431865/report.aspx Invisible Islington: Living in Poverty in Inner London http://www.cripplegate.org/reports-publications/publications#invisible 14 Chapter 4, Section 3 - Skills, Qualifications and Educational Attainment Introduction The London and Islington economies have become increasingly knowledge based with a high level of skills often needed to gain employment. Improving the levels of skills, qualifications and educational attainment of the borough’s residents is crucial if employment opportunities are to be accessed and to ensure that worklessness is reduced. Key Findings Islington is characterised by a high proportion of people with skills and qualifications at or above NVQ level 4 – equivalent to a degree or higher qualification. However nearly 1 in 5 working age residents has no qualifications or is only qualified to NVQ level 1 (equivalent to GCSE grades D-G). Tellingly only one in six working age residents without a job is qualified to level 4 or higher, while 70% of those with no qualifications are not in employment. The relationship between unemployment and qualifications is striking. The proportion of young people in Islington who gain qualifications is rapidly improving. Only 10 years ago fewer than a quarter of Islington school pupils gained five or more GCSEs at grades A*-C. In 2010, the figure reached 74% - a three fold improvement and above the national average for the first time ever. More sixteen year olds progress to further education or training, though the drop out rate is fairly high and overall Islington has more young people not in employment, education or training (NEET) than comparable areas. Three in five local employers do not identify any skills gap in their existing workforce. Those that do are most likely to identify IT, customer service, strategic management and communication skills as the most common gaps. Around two fifths of those who have tried to recruit staff in the last year reported difficulties finding suitably skilled staff. Conclusions Islington residents’ skills base is divergent. Half have a Level 4 (degree level) qualification or above, while one in eight have no qualifications. Both these figures are above London and national averages. Educational attainment has improved significantly, but too many of Islington’s young people still leave school with few qualifications and a sizeable proportion are not attaining a sufficient level of education after statutory school age to compete in London’s job market. Despite a highly qualified local workforce, local employers identify a range of skills gaps, particularly in sales and customer service positions. There are significant numbers of working age people who are not working, and those without qualifications (or with poor qualifications) are the most likely not to be employed. Further Information London Skills and Employment Board – the London Story http://www.london.gov.uk/lseb/docs/thelondonstory.pdf Labour Market Profiles from NOMIS https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431865/report.aspx Islington Children & Young People’s Plan 2006-11 http://www.islington.gov.uk/DownloadableDocuments/CommunityandLiving/Pdf/s c_20090616_children_and_young_peoples_plan.pdf 15 Chapter 5 – Sustainable Economic Development Section 1 – The Economy and the Environment Introduction Islington is one of the most built up areas in the country, largely due to its central location adjacent to the City of London. This has left the area with low levels of open space and a lack of large parks. Islington's growing economy continues to present environmental challenges, which in turn have implications for its competitiveness. Responding and adapting to climate change and minimising resource use are particularly important issues for businesses in the borough. Key Findings Islington’s open spaces enhance the amenity of the area and provide vital relief from the urban environment. They support local businesses by enhancing the attractiveness of the area and are well used by workers and visitors. The wider natural environment plays an important role through its cooling effect and reduction in flood risk; factors that are likely to be increasingly important as a result of climate change. The commercial and industrial sector generates around half of the borough’s CO 2 emissions, with the majority of emissions coming from offices. Future economic growth will have further impacts on the environment with an increase in emissions and pressure on the borough’s environmental resources. As our climate continues to change, particular ecological processes, such as cooling and flood prevention, are likely to become increasingly important. Enhanced biodiversity and sustainable urban drainage will be vital to constrain the impacts of this. Risks to Islington’s economy arising from a changing climate need to be evaluated and measures put in place for future proofing. Conclusions The value of open space and other green infrastructure in supporting the economy is significant. As the economy grows it will be important to continue to provide new and improved open space and biodiversity through means such as planning obligations and a Community Infrastructure Levy. Damage to the natural and historic environment as a result of economic activity should also be minimised as a means of retaining the borough’s economic competitiveness. The Council supports businesses to reduce CO 2 emissions and wider environmental impacts and raises awareness of the potential impacts of a changing climate. Further Information Islington Core Strategy Document February 2011 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/p ol_corestrat/default.asp Islington Planning Obligations Supplementary Planning Document 2009 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/p ol_supplement/adopted_spd/planningobligations.asp Islington Sustainability Strategy 2010-12 http://www.islington.gov.uk/environment/sustainability/sus_council/ 16 Chapter 5, Section 2 – Transport Provision and Other Infrastructure Introduction Islington has a highly developed transport network and other physical infrastructure. This has huge economic advantages for the borough and makes it a highly desirable business location and place to live. However, population and employment growth are putting the transport network and other infrastructure under pressure. Key Findings Transport demand within Islington is extremely high, particularly at peak commuter times. More than 50% of Islington workers travel from within the borough or from neighbouring boroughs. Nearly 70% of Islington residents make relatively short trips to work, either within the borough or to Westminster, Camden or the City. Surface and underground rail in Islington has received significant investment in the last decade with further projects such as Crossrail improving the network over the next decade. However the road and underground rail networks operate at full capacity during much of the day, and due to London’s predicted economic and population growth, planned investment will only maintain the status quo. Cycling journeys represent an increasing but small percentage of total journeys made in Islington. The cycle network is insufficiently developed in Islington and across London generally. Water and sewage infrastructure are being updated, and increased capacity is planned to accommodate population growth and climate change. Other forms of physical infrastructure e.g. gas and electricity will keep pace with projected growth. Investment is required in measures to reduce carbon emissions in the borough, particularly through development of decentralised energy networks which will supply low carbon heat to existing buildings and new development. Waste collection and recycling of commercial waste is a developing market and offers opportunities for new business growth. Telecoms/internet broadband is a rapidly changing market with widespread connectivity across the borough. The Council can play an important role in enabling more people to have access to the internet. Implications for Islington’s Economy The primary infrastructure issue for Islington’s economy is the road and rail networks operating at full capacity with little prospect of increased capacity relieving pressure due to population growth and budgetary constraints. Congestion creates an unpleasant environment and delays journey times, both of which affect the competitiveness of the local economy. To maintain sustainable economic growth it is vital that there is a modal shift from car based transport to the more sustainable modes of transport - walking, cycling and public transport (where there is capacity).This is realistic because a large proportion of journeys are made locally and are relatively short. An environment with less road based traffic and congestion and more walking and cycling will be safer and more attractive with knock on benefits for the local economy. 17 Underground and DLR crowding, 2031 (with committed improvements) Source: Transport for London, Mayor’s Transport Strategy 2010 Conclusions While capacity improvements related to rail, bus and strategic highways are beyond the Council’s control, the Council can play a significant role in promoting sustainable transport by encouraging walking and cycling in the Borough, through comparatively cost effective interventions. To this end the borough should continue to negotiate developer contributions through Section 106 agreements and will be adopting a Community Infrastructure Levy which will provide a more flexible source of infrastructure funding. To achieve this modal shift more investment is required to improve the quality of the public realm as well as road safety and infrastructure for pedestrians and cyclists. A key aspiration is to remove the gyratory at Archway which has a detrimental impact on the success of the town centre. Developing attractive walking routes and comprehensive safe cycle network will be essential to increasing walking and cycling. Further Information Islington Sustainable Transport Strategy (Local Implementation Plan) 2006 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Transport/SustainableTransportStrategy/ Mayor of London’s Transport Strategy 2010 http://www.london.gov.uk/publication/mayors-transport-strategy TfL Travel in London Report 2 2010 http://www.tfl.gov.uk/corporate/about-tfl/publications/1482.aspx The Islington Infrastructure Delivery Plan, 2009 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/p ol_evidence/ 18 Chapter 5, Section 3 – Housing Introduction Islington’s buoyant housing market has increased the supply of homes and brought investment into the borough, but has also had a profound impact on its socio-economic profile and on the affordability of housing. Housing need, supply and the provision of affordable homes are therefore key issues when addressing inequality. Deprivation is largely concentrated within the borough’s housing estates which will need continued attention as the Council seeks to create a fairer Islington. Key Findings • 44% of the population live in social rented housing, while only a third (32%) of residents are owner occupiers and 24% are private tenants. • Approximately 81% of households live in flats, which is significantly above the national average of 17% and the average for Greater London of 45%. • Average house prices are 2.5 times higher than the UK average. High residential values has meant that housing has often been the dominant use in redevelopments, in part explaining the recent loss in employment floorspace. • Owner-occupiers with a mortgage have an average household income of nearly £100,000; residents in private rented properties have an average income of over £60,000; council and registered social landlord tenants have an average income of around £15,000. In 2009 there were over 8400 households on the Housing Register while it is estimated that over 6,000 households in the borough are overcrowded. • Islington delivered more than twice the London Plan target for housing completions over the previous three years which amounts to nearly a third of Central London Borough completions. 6,546 more homes have planning permission or are currently being built. • Between 2005/6 and 2008/9 over 2,000 affordable homes were completed. There are 1895 additional net affordable homes in the pipeline, although addressing the full extent of housing need within the borough is likely to remain a significant challenge. Average House Prices in Islington July 1995 – July 2010 500,000 450,000 400,000 Average Price (£) 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year Source: www.landreg.gov.uk (9/9/10) Source: Land Registry 2010 19 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Conclusions • Islington’s housing market has helped to provide vital new housing including affordable housing, and direct investment in the local economy, but housing needs remain a key issue, in particular the need for family sized affordable units. • The impact of welfare reform is of significant concern as reductions in housing benefit and other changes have the potential to increase homelessness, cause disruption to communities as people move within or out of the borough and lead to additional overcrowding. It is likely that the Council will need to procure additional temporary accommodation. • Meeting and exceeding the borough target for housing provision is a key objective of the borough as is the provision of affordable housing, which forms a major element of the Core Strategy. • Reductions in the national affordable housing budget however mean that delivery of new social housing is going to become more challenging, although some additional funding is available through the New Homes Bonus. • The Council is opposed to the Government’s Affordable Rented Housing product which enables Registered Providers to charge at up to 80% of market rents. The Council will use its own resources and work directly with Registered Providers to delivery housing that is genuinely affordable. • Strategies to tackle disadvantage will need to particularly focus on the most deprived areas in borough, especially those where there has been limited recent intervention. Further Information Islington Core Strategy February 2011 http://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/p ol_corestrat/default.asp Islington Core Strategy Topic Paper: Housing Land Supply June 2010 https://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/ pol_corestrat/CS_Submission/support_docs.asp Islington Core Strategy Topic Paper: Affordable Housing June 2010 https://www.islington.gov.uk/Environment/Planning/planningpol/local_dev_frame/ pol_corestrat/CS_Submission/support_docs.asp Islington Borough Investment Plan 2011 Islington Housing Needs Survey 2008 http://www.islington.gov.uk/DownloadableDocuments/Housing/Pdf/Housing_Nee ds_Survey_2008.pdf 20 Chapter 5, Section 4 – Crime Introduction Crime in Islington has a significant impact on individuals, businesses and the local economy. Crime can affect a victim’s ability to work, and their potential to support themselves and their family. It reduces the amount of legitimate expenditure in the economy as individuals suffer loss of wealth and businesses incur reduced profitability as a result of crime such as burglaries and damage to property. Crime affects the image of areas and business investment decisions. Key Findings Islington has one of the highest crime rates in the country, although this has been reducing in recent years. Violence against the person was the most common offence in the 12 months up to July 2010 (5815 offences), followed by motor vehicle crime (3,191) and burglary (2,666). The rate of crime in Islington is affected by a number of factors including high population density, a large transient population and high number of visitors, a thriving night time economy, high levels of deprivation and social polarisation, and concentration of transport hubs. It also causes substantial costs to public services, particularly health, police and prison services. Crime in Islington in 2008/9 is estimated to have cost the borough £92 million. The Safer Islington Partnership has commissioned a number of initiatives in addition to mainstream activities delivered by partner agencies which are aimed at supporting existing services in helping to improve community safety and reduce crime within the borough. Conclusions Islington has a high crime rate which is affected by a number of factors including high population density, a large transient population and high number of visitors, a thriving night time economy, high levels of deprivation and social polarisation, and a concentration of transport hubs. Prioritising measures which prevent crime will help to reduce the high individual, public sector and wider economic costs of dealing with the consequences of crime at a later stage. The Council and the Police should continue to work with businesses to identify crimes that are prevalent in town centres and other crimes that affect businesses, through for example links with Town Centre Boards. Measures to tackle crime should be integrated alongside programmes to address other causes and symptoms of multiple deprivation, particularly focusing on areas of highest deprivation. Further Information 2008-2011 Safer Islington Partnership Plan, Community Safety Strategy for the London Borough of Islington (2008) – http://www.islington.gov.uk/Council/councilabout/crimeandsafety.asp Met Police: Latest Crime Figures for Islington http://www.met.police.uk/crimefigures/datatable.php?borough=ni&period=year 21 Chapter 6 –Economic Competitiveness and Future Prospects Islington’s economy has proven itself to be competitive, responsive to changes in the wider economy, and resilient in wake of the recession. Islington is still an attractive location for businesses. The number of employee jobs located in Islington has continually increased over the last 10 years. This reflects a strong level of economic growth by national standards, placing Islington in the top 20% of districts nationally. Islington’s economy is increasingly a source of employment for local residents who now occupy approximately 30% of Islington jobs. The borough has the highest proportion of employment in high value knowledge driven sectors of Central London boroughs and has seen the greatest growth in this area. Islington has many positive attributes which have contributed to its economic success. Its Central London location and good transport connections are key drivers, with the greatest concentration of business and employment in the southern part of the borough. Islington’s rich historic environment as well as its leisure and cultural offer and night-time economy are important factors. The borough’s town centres and street markets provide a range of retailing opportunities and contribute to the borough’s character and the experience of the area. Islington also has a number of important connections with neighbouring authorities and is working to support economic growth at Finsbury Park and the Seven Sisters Corridor, Archway, Kings Cross, Farringdon, Old Street and develop stronger links with Dalston. Islington’s connections with the rest of London and beyond mean that its fortunes are closely tied with the London economy and wider markets. It appears to be in a comparatively strong position, with good prospects for private sector growth. However, Islington still has areas of extreme deprivation. Like elsewhere, it will not escape the impacts of significant public sector funding cuts which will affect many organisations and households, and also constrain the ability of the Council and its partners to respond to economic challenges. The Council is however committed to doing what it can to moderate the impacts of the cuts and addressing deprivation. The Islington Fairness Commission has set out a range of recommendations with the aim increasing equality throughout the borough. A successful Islington and London economy has the potential to propel the borough through difficult times. Government proposals to allow local authorities to retain a proportion of the business rates that they collect will bring the relationship with the local economy and the wider area even closer. The Local Economic Assessment highlights the role that the Council can play in working with business to create the conditions that will help businesses to thrive and enable future employment growth. Key measures that can be taken include: Improving skills, particularly where there are skills gaps, to assist residents into work and help businesses when recruiting difficult to fill positions; Providing employment support and securing commitments from business to create employment and training opportunities for local people; Support growth in industries such as the creative sector to maximise new jobs in the private sector. The provision of a range of types and sizes of employment spaces, including flexible and affordable workspace and other business support measures; 22 Concentrating investment in the most deprived areas and/ or those more reliant on the public sector such as Archway, Finsbury Park and Kings Cross; Enhancing infrastructure and connections, including improved walking and cycling routes to help counteract road and public transport congestion. Further issues, challenges and opportunities identified in the LEA which will affect the success of the borough and its capacity for economic growth are summarised in the final chapter of the LEA which should be read alongside the measures identified in the final report published by the Islington Fairness Commission. 23 Islington Local Economic Assessment Contacts Spatial Planning & Transport - [email protected] 0207 527 2564 Business Support - [email protected] 0207 527 3255 Demographics and General Research - [email protected] 020 7527 3480/ 3405 Regeneration and Community Partnerships - [email protected] 0207 527 4250 Child Poverty - [email protected] 0207 527 8620 Strategy and Commissioning, Children’s Services [email protected] 0207 527 5683 Environmental Sustainability – [email protected] 0207 527 2001 Housing - [email protected] 0207 527 4438 If you would like this document in another format such as large print, please contact the Council on 020 7527 2000. 222 Upper Street, London, N1 1XR E [email protected] T 020 7527 2000 F 020 7527 5001 Minicom 020 7527 1900 W www.islington.gov.uk
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