Spillover effects of studying with immigrant students in the same classroom:Evidence from Quantile regression analysis Asako Ohinata∗ and Jan C. van Ours† Preliminary version: October 1, 2012 Abstract We analyze how the share of immigrant children in the classroom affects the educational attainment of native Dutch children. As opposed to the previous studies that mainly focus on the immediate spill-over effects at the conditional mean, we investigate the spill-over effects at different parts of the test score distribution for students in the 8th grade. Our analysis uses a rich Dutch panel data, PRIMA, which allow us to characterize educational attainment in many dimensions. After taking classroom characteristics, parental education and school characteristics into account, we do not find strong evidence of negative spill-over effects from immigrant children to native Dutch boys. For native Dutch girls some negative spillover effects persist in particular if their parents have a low educational attainment. JEL classification: I21, J15 Keywords: Immigrant children; Peer effects; Educational attainment ∗ Department of Economics and CentER, Tilburg University, The Netherlands; [email protected] † Department of Economics, CentER, Tilburg University, The Netherlands; Department of Economics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia and CEPR; [email protected] The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from the NORFACE research program on Migration in Europe - Social, Economic, Cultural and Policy Dynamics. 1 1 Introduction Now that immigrants are a substantial part of the European population, research is shifting towards assessing educational performance of first and second-generation immigrant children sometimes in comparison to the native children. However, the question of whether immigrant children affect native children’s educational outcomes remains largely unanswered. Our paper contributes to the small literature on educational spillover effects by analyzing whether studying with immigrant children in the same classroom affects the educational attainment of the 8th grade (approximately 12 years old) native Dutch children. Educational spill-over effects between immigrant children and native children have been studied in the United States by Hoxby (1998) and Borjas (2004), who present evidence of immigrant crowding out effects on the native students in the graduate and postgraduate schools. Other US studies focus on peer effects due to interactions with immigrant students in the neighborhood and their impact on academic performance of native students Betts (1998); Betts and Lofstrom (2000). Evidence from outside US include Gould et al. (2009), who use the large influx of Jewish immigrants from the former Soviet Union to investigate peer effects on the native Israeli students. Brunello and Rocco (2011) present cross country evidence from 27 European and Anglo-Saxon countries by using the 2000, 2003, 2006 and 2009 Program for International Student Assessment (PISA). PISA assesses the cognitive abilities (reading, mathematics, and science) of the 15 year old students in OECD member countries. Jensen and Rasmussen (2011) study the immigrant peer effects in Denmark using the 2000 and 2005 PISA and Danish administrative register data. They address the non-random allocation of immigrant families to certain regions by using the population size of the residence of children as an IV. Geay et al. (2012) use data from the British National Pupil Database between 2003 and 2009 to relate the percentage of non-English speaking children aged 12 in England to the educational performance reading, writing, math of native children within the same school. 2 Educational spillover effects of immigrant children have been investigated in the Netherlands in a couple of studies. Van der Silk et al. (2006) study the effect of ethnic composition on language proficiency of children in grade 4 to 6. They find that pupils in school classes with a high share of ethnic minorities perform worse but this effect disappears once parental characteristics are taken into account. Maestri (2011) studies the effect of ethnic diversity in a class room finding that this has a positive effect on test scores of minority students. Finally, Ohinata and van Ours (2011) analyze how the share of immigrant children in the classroom affects the educational attainment of native Dutch children. In our previous study we do not find strong evidence of negative spillover effects from immigrant children to native Dutch children on reading, maths and science skills.1 The existing literature all examine the spill-over effects of immigrant students at the conditional mean of the test score distribution. However, students struggling academically may suffer more/less from studying with immigrant students than those who are at the top of the test score distribution. On the one hand, a larger share of immigrant students in the same classroom may lead teachers to provide more focus to weaker students if the immigrant students are also performing poorly. On the other hand, weak Dutch students may see reduction in the teaching resources allocated when they study with a large share of immigrants. Providing an answer to such a question requires the spill-over effects to be evaluated at different parts of the test score distribution. The present paper, therefore, employs a Quantile regression approach and extends our previous analysis by studying differential spill-over effects of immigrant students on the native Dutch students at different parts of the test score distribution. In our analysis we use the so called PRIMA data which are discussed in more detail below. In the PRIMA data information from students at primary schools in the Netherlands is collected, including a range of educational performance tests. In the current paper we focus on the so called 1 Our previous study used data from PIRLS (Progress in International Reading Literacy Study)and TIMSS (Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study). The studies by Van der Silk et al. (2006) and Maestri (2011) use PRIMA data, as we do in the current paper. These data are discussed in more detail below. 3 CITO test scores. The CITO test is a national test providing an overall assessment of educational performance. Following primary education, all children in the Netherlands go on to secondary education - to one of the educational tracks of preparatory intermediate vocational education, senior general secondary education or pre-university education. The CITO test is used for the allocation of students to post-primary schools. One major obstacle researchers face when studying the present topic is that immigrant students are not randomly allocated to schools. A simple Quantile regressions would report biased estimates due to the endogeneity problem arising from the non-random allocation of students. We, therefore, propose to overcome this problem by exploiting the variation in the number of immigrant students in the 8th grade from the same school over the years. The identification assumption requires that once year and school fixed characteristics are controlled for, students in the 8th grade in a particular year is comparable to those who are in the same grade in another year. Moreover, the number of immigrant students found in the 8th grade in a particular year is random (i.e. share of immigrant students in exogenously given, since it is mainly determined due to date of birth of the students). One thing is to note, however, is that Quantiles are not linear operators. This implies that a simple de-meaning approach often employed in a linear setting cannot be applied. Instead, we employ an estimator proposed by Canay (2011). Canay (2011)’s approach treats the unobserved school characteristics as a simple location shift that does not depend on each quantile. This, in turn, implies that the school fixed effects can first be estimated at the conditional mean and the predicted fixed effect values can then be deducted from the dependent variable before estimating the spill-over effects. Our current paper is set-up as follows. Section ?? provides information about immigrants in the Netherlands and the Dutch educational system. Section 3 describes our data and the set-up of our analysis. Section 4 discusses preliminary parameter estimates. Section 5 concludes. 4 2 Background information 2.1 Immigrants in the Netherlands After the second World War, migrants to the Netherlands moved broadly for the following three reasons. Firstly, large groups of immigrants came from the former Dutch colonies between the middle of 1940s to 1970s. These include migrants from Indonesia and Molucca, Surinam, and Antilles. Secondly, foreign workers were recruited in the 1960s and 1970s as guest workers to combat the shortages of labor in the Netherlands. Lastly, in recent years, some entered as asylum seekers. A large number of Dutch-Indonesian repatriates and Moluccans moved to the Netherlands after the independence of Indonesia in 1949. Approximately 300,000 repatriates migrated to the Netherlands during the two decades. Half of these were Eurasians, and 12,500 were Moluccans . Moreover, approximately 40,000 Surinamese moved to the Netherlands in 1975 when Surinam was decolonized and became independent. Another large flow of migration occurred around 1979 and 1980 when the mandatory entry visa for Surinamese was introduced. This was due to fear that entry to the Netherlands would become more restricted Ersanilli (2007); Lucassen and Penninx (1997). Finally, there has been a continuous flow of immigrants from the Netherlands Antilles over the past years. In the 1960s, the Dutch economy saw a large boom, which resulted in a severe shortage of labor. As a result, the major hiring of guest workers from Southern Europe, Yugoslavia, and particularly from Morocco and Turkey started Van Ours and Veenman (2005). The number of these immigrants reached up to approximately 235,000 in 1970 Penninx et al. (1994). Although recruitment stopped in 1973, further migration from Morocco and Turkey continued even in 1980s, for the purpose of family formation or unification Ersanilli (2007). In addition, the Netherlands has been an active host for political refugees and asylum seekers. After the fall of the Soviet Union, many immigrants from the eastern Europe moved to the Netherlands. In the more recent 5 years, economic and political crisis has increased immigrants from diverse backgrounds such as Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, and Somalia. An important distinction for the purpose of this paper is between firstgeneration and second-generation immigrants. First-generation immigrants include those who were born outside of the Netherlands with at least one parent also born abroad. Second-generation immigrants are those who were born in the Netherlands with at least one of the parents born outside the Netherlands. Among the non-Western immigrants both the number of firstgeneration immigrants as well as the number of second-generation immigrants increased substantially. Although Indonesians are one of the major groups of immigrants in the Netherlands, they are unlikely to represent a significant portion of the students in this paper. Due to their entry mainly in the 1950s and 1960s, the Indonesian and Moluccan first and secondgeneration immigrants are likely to be too old to be in primary schools. 2.2 The Dutch educational system Immigrant population is not evenly distributed across the Netherlands. In fact, the highest concentration of immigrant households are found in the four largest cities, i.e. Amsterdam, the Hague, Rotterdam, and Utrecht. This has two important implications for the purpose of the analysis in this paper. Firstly, since Dutch parents have always enjoyed the freedom to choose a school that they want to send their child to, the probability of racial and socioeconomic segregations in these big cities is likely to be higher, due to the large number of schools from which to choose. Secondly, schools located in the four large cities were likely to have received more funding from the Dutch government, at least until 2006. The Weighted Student Funding (WSF) was in operation between 1985 until 2006 in order to promote equal educational quality among schools and also to assist schools with a larger number of disadvantaged students Ladd and Fiske (2009). The scheme calculates a weighting index for each school by taking account of the number of immigrant students as well as disadvantaged Dutch students. This index ranges between 1 and 1.9, where schools with an index of 1 until 1.09 were 6 not given any extra funding. Schools with the index above 1.09 were offered the extra funding, whose amount reflected the index. For example, those with 1.9 received 90 percent more funding per student. The system is made slightly more complex by the fact that money was not directly paid to each school but rather was given to school boards that had the control over the distribution of the allocated funding across the schools. Nonetheless, Ladd and Fiske (2009) show evidence that extra funding was allocated mainly to schools in the four largest cities. The implication of such a treatment is that school principals may have allocated additional resources towards classes with larger numbers of immigrant students. If this is the case, and classes with a high share of immigrant children were being taught by more able teachers or if these classes had better teaching resources, the size of the potentially negative peer effects of immigrant students may have been reduced. Below, we investigate to what extent the allocation of educational resources is correlated with the share of immigrant children in a classroom. 3 Data and set-up of the analysis 3.1 Data Our paper employs a rich Dutch dataset, PRIMA. PRIMA is longitudinal data which was commissioned by the Ministry of Education and coordinated by the Institute for Research of Education (DME). The implementation of the research rested with the Institute for Applied Social Sciences (ITS) of the Catholic University Nijmegen and the SCO-Kohnstamm Institute of the University of Amsterdam. PRIMA collects detailed information from approximately 600 primary schools and test scores and individual characteristics were collected from students and their parents. Moreover, information at the classroom, teachers school administrators were also made available. The surveys were conducted every two years since the 1994-1995 academic year. Although there are 6 waves in PRIMA (1994/1995, 1996/1997, 1998/1999, 2001/2002, 2002/2003, 2004/2005) we only use the last 3 waves. This is because the first wave has a rather different set of questions and I 7 need to look in more detail while the second an third wave do not seem to have identifiers that are comparable over the years. From each school, information on the 2nd, 4th, 6th and 8th grade students are collected at the student, parent, teacher (classroom), school (Principal) levels. All students took tests specially designed by PRIMA on reading and algebra. The results from the CITO tests for the 8th grade students are also included. In addition to the CITO test scores we also analyze educational attainment in terms of language test scores, maths test scores, reading test scores and IQ test scores of the 8th grade students. In the analysis the main explanatory variables are the share of immigrant students in the classroom, the gender of the teacher, the experience of the teacher, the number of students in the classroom, the composition of the classroom in terms of grades, the age of the students, the educational attainment of the parents and the cohort of the students (see the appendix for definitions and descriptive statistics of all variables). PRIMA data have been used in various studies investigating a wide range of educational issues in the Netherlands including the educational spillover effects of immigrant children by Van der Silk et al. (2006) and Maestri (2011), discussed in section 1. Dobbelsteen et al. (2002) for example analyses the causal effect of class size on educational performance finding that after correcting for endogeneity, pupils in larger classes do no worse than identical pupils in small classes. Driessen (2007) studies whether teachers’ gender affects achievement, attitudes and behavior of pupils finding no effects. Leuven et al. (2010) find that early schooling enrollment has positive effects on language scores and math scores of disadvantages pupils, but has effects on the educational attainment of non-disadvantaged pupils. Rønning (2011) studies the effect of homework assignments finding that these assignments only improves the achievement of pupils from advantaged family backgrounds. 8 3.2 Descriptive analysis Figure 1 shows the distribution of our main explanatory variables. As shown in the top graph in almost 70 percent of the students in 8th grade classes had no first-generation immigrant students in their classroom. The bottom graph shows that in a little over 20 percent of all students were in classes without no second-generation immigrant students but there are also many Dutch students who had more than 40 percent of second-generation immigrants in their classroom. The bottom graph shows the distribution of the share of all immigrant students which is to a large extent driven by the presence of second-generation immigrant students. Figure 2 shows that there is a lot of variation between the presence of first-generation and second-generation immigrant students. This should allow us to estimate the separate effects on the educational attainment of Dutch students of both types of immigrant students. Figure 3 gives an impression of the relationship at the level of the individual students between the share of immigrants in the classroom and the educational attainment in terms of the overall CITO score. Figure 4 shows the relationship between the share of immigrant children in the eighth grade and the share of immigrant children in the sixth grade. Clearly there is a strong variation but this correlation is far from perfect. This should allow us to estimate the separate short run effect of the share of immigrants in the eighth grade on educational performance in the eighth grade as well as the long run effect of the share of immigrants in the sixth grade on educational performance in the eighth grade. Figure 5 groups the scatter plot of Figure 3 in 5 percent intervals of the share of immigrants. Then, it is clear that there is a strong negative relationship between the share of immigrants and the CITO score. Figure 6, on the other hand, shows the cumulative test score distributions by gender and by the share of immigrant students. In particular, similarly to Figure 7, students studying with zero immigrant students are compared with those studying in the 8th grade with 20% or more immigrant students in the same classroom. The plotted distribution functions for boys show that the 9 two distributions are almost identical regardless of the share of immigrant students in the same classroom. For girls, however, it is clear that larger proportion of the students who study in a classroom with a share of 20% or more immigrant students attain less test scores in comparison to those studying with no immigrant students. Figure 7 indicates evidence that the effect of immigrant students is not uniform across the distribution. In these figures, Kernel Density estimations of test scores are calculated separately for boys and girls. Moreover, students studying with zero immigrant students are compared with those studying in the 8th grade with 20% or more immigrant students. These figures indicate that whilst the average test scores do not change regardless of the proportion of immigrant students in the 8th grade, boys studying with no immigrant students exhibit heavier tails at the lower end of the test scores. The opposite story is true for the girls. 3.3 Set-up of the analysis If students were randomly allocated to schools, then following Buchinsky (1998), Eq. 1 below specifies the θth conditional quantile of the test score distribution for the ith individual in 8th grade classroom c, kth cohort and sth school. Quantθ (y icks |X icks ) = X icks 0 β θ (1) where Quantθ (θicks |X icks ) = 0 and β θ shows a vector of parameters at θth quantile. Furthermore, y icsk is the national CITO test scores of Dutch students, and X icsk captures the student, classroom, teacher and parent level characteristics. Although student interactions and, therefore, the spillover effects is likely to be stronger at the class-level, students or teaching resources may not have been allocated to classes randomly. X icsk also includes various information on the gender of the student, parental education, cohort specific fixed effects, single motherhood and fatherhood households. Furthermore, teacher’s teaching experience and gender are included. The key variable of interest for the purpose of our paper is the proportion of immigrant students in grade 8 classroom as the coefficient shows us the 10 spill-over effects of immigrant students. However, evidence from Ladd and Fiske (2009) and Ladd et al. (2010) indicate that the students are selectively allocated to schools. This, therefore, implies that we need to alter our conditional quantile regression as shown below. Quantθ (y icks |X icks ) = X icks 0 β θ + αs (2) αs represents school fixed characteristics. The specification exploits the variation in the number of immigrant students in the same grade over the years. The identification assumption requires that once cohort and school fixed characteristics are controlled for, students in a grade in a particular year is comparable to those who are in the same grade in another year. Moreover, the number of immigrant students found in a grade in a particular year is random (i.e. 2nd graders in 2000 are comparable to those from 2002 and the number of immigrant students in each cohort is randomly determined due to date of birth). However, αs is unobserved and is likely to be correlated with other covariates. When estimating a quantile model, we cannot apply the standard demeaning approach, which is frequently employed in the linear setting. This is because quantiles are not linear operators. The present paper, therefore, employs the two-step estimator proposed by Canay (2011). This approach treats αs as a simple location shift and, therefore, it does not depend on the quantiles. This implies that the school fixed effects affects the test scores of all students within the same school in the same way regardless of where the students are located along the test score distribution. In other words, this assumption allows us to estimate the school fixed effects at the conditional mean, since the same school fixed effects are assumed to affect all students regardless of the quantiles. Therefore, intuitively speaking, Canay (2011) two-step estimator involves the following two steps. Firstly, we need to estimate the school fixed effects by estimating the test score regression at the conditional mean. Once the predicted values are obtained, they can be deducted from the observed test scores so as to eliminate the school fixed effects. The second step in11 cludes estimating a quantile regression with the new test score variable. More specifically, the Canay (2011) two-step estimator involves the following steps. • Step 1: Estimate the conditional mean equation for y icsk . Let β̂θ̄ be √ a n consistent estimator of βθ̄ where βθ̄ is a vector of parameters at the conditional mean. Then, obtain n α̂s ≡ 1X [y icsk − X icsk 0 β̂θ̄ ] n (3) i=1 • Step 2: Define ŷ icsk ≡ y icsk − αˆs . Given ρq (u) = u[q − I(u < 0)], where I(.) is an indicator function, the estimator β̂θ is n β̂θ = argmin θ∈Θ 4 1X [ρq (ŷ icsk − X icsk 0 θ)] n (4) i=1 Preliminary results 4.1 Conditional mean estimates Before we present our quantile estimates, Table 1 shows our baseline OLS estimates of the effects of the classroom share of immigrants on the CITO scores as a point of comparison. When interpreting the magnitude of the parameter estimates one has to keep in mind that the standard deviation in the CITO scores for boys is 9.86 while for girls this is 9.91. The first estimates are unconditional estimates indicating the effect of the share of immigrants on the CITO-scores. For boys there is a significant negative effect of 4.36, which is equivalent to an immigrant share of 10 percent causing a drop in CITO-score of about 0.05 standard deviation, for girls the effect is also negative equivalent to an immigrant share of 10 percent causing a drop in CITO-score of about 0.07 standard deviation. The negative effects become somewhat smaller after classroom information is introduced and reduces substantially if in addition to that parental educational attainment variables are introduced. 12 Once we introduce school fixed effects, the significance of the parameter estimate for boys disappears. Findings for girls also show the same pattern, and in addition, the magnitude of the estimated spill-over effect is also reduced substantially. The fifth estimates shows that adding a lagged effect of immigrant share does not influence the main parameter estimates. Table 2 presents the parameter estimates of Table 1a estimates (4) in more detail, to illustrate the effects of the classroom characteristics and the parental education variables. Classroom characteristics turn out to be not very important. On the other hand, not surprisingly, the higher the parental education the higher the CITO-score of their children. The estimate indicate that the older the child the lower the CITO-score. This may be due to the fact that older children are those who typically tool the same grade at some point during their primary school education due to their weak academic performance. 4.2 Quantile estimates The quantile estimates are presented in Table 3. Just as before, the results are separately estimated for boys and girls. Columns (1)-(5) and (6)(10) each show the estimates for boys and girls, respectively. All columns clearly present an identical pattern, namely the Dutch students who are in lower quantiles are affected more severely by the presence of immigrant students in the same classroom. Similarly to the results in Table 1, controlling for classroom characteristics does little to the estimates for both boys and girls. Taking account of parental education, however, drastically reduces the size of the negative spillover effects experienced by the male students. Controlling for the school fixed effects further reduces the size of the estimates. This, however, is not the case for the girls. The estimates are still negative and significant even after controlling for parental characteristics, albeit the smaller sized estimates. School fixed effects do seem to contribute to further reduction of the size of the estimates, but students from the lower quantiles are still significantly negatively affected by studying with immigrant students. 13 Table 4 illustrates whether the spill-over effects differ depending on the immigrant parents’ educational attainment. When the highest educational attainment of the immigrant parents is lower secondary education or less, these immigrant students are considered to have been born from low educated parents. On the other hand, immigrant parents are considered to have high education if they have upper secondary or more education. The results indicate that it is the immigrant children born from less educated parents that severely reduces the academic achievements of Dutch peers. The large negative spill-over effects is particularly prevalent at the lower end of the test score distribution. This holds both for the boys and the girls. On the other hand, as columns (2) and (5) show, the results become less significant and the magnitude of the negative effects is also reduced. Results for boys exhibit no negative spillover effects once the school fixed effects is controlled for (column (3)). However, the negative effects still persist for girls (column (6)). For girls, controlling for school fixed effects does little to reduce the size of the effects. Finally, Table 5 shows differential spill-over effects by first and second generation immigrant students. Given that the first-generation immigrants are less likely to have assimilated to the Dutch population and are less likely to have acquired the linguistic skills, these students are more likely to affect the native Dutch students negatively. Our findings confirm this prediction. The estimated results consistently show that the size of the negative spill-over effects of first-generation immigrants is larger than that of second-generation immigrant students. As before, the negative effects persist for girls even after controlling for various covariates and school fixed effects. Unlike the results in previous Tables, the negative spill-over effects of first-generation immigrant students are observed also for boys even after controlling for school fixed effects. 4.3 Sensitivity analysis Table 6 presents the main parameter estimates for a wide variety of indicators of educational attainment. We present both the unconditional 14 estimate of the share of immigrant students on each of the educational attainment scores as well as the estimate after taking into account the effects of parental education, classroom characteristics and school fixed effects. Overall results suggest that negative spillover effects experienced by boys seem to disappear once we control for various factors. However, the negative peer effects are still found for girls even when we control for school fixed effects. 5 Preliminary conclusions We analyze how the share of immigrant children in the classroom affects the educational attainment of native Dutch children in the 8th grade. Unlike the existing literature that all study the spill-over effects of immigrant students at the conditional mean of the test score distribution, our analysis investigate differential impacts at different parts of the distribution by employing a Quantile regression approach. In order to address the non-random allocation of students to schools, we control for school fixed effects and exploit the variation in the share of immigrant students across cohorts. Our assumption is that once the school specific characteristics are controlled for, the share of immigrant students in a particular cohort is determined purely by the date of birth of the students. In all cases, unconditional estimates generally suggest significantly negative spillover effects of immigrant students. This is true for both boys and girls. The size of this negative effect becomes somewhat smaller once parental education is controlled for, although some estimates still persist to be significantly negative. Controlling for unobserved school fixed effects reduces the size of the spillover effects even more, and for most of the cases, the spill-over effects experienced by Dutch boys are no longer statistically significant. This is not true for the girls. In fact, estimates suggest that girls persistently experience negative and significant spill-over effects even when we control for the school fixed effects. Looking at the results at each of the estimated quantiles show that academically weak students (those with test scores below 50 % quantile) are more severely affected by studying with immigrant students. 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Dummy=1 if students are studying with students from other grades. 6. cohort2: Students who are in the 8th grade in year 2002. 7. cohort3: Students who are in the 8th grade in year 2004. 8. Age of students in the 8th grade 9. Parental education 19 Means of variables: Boys Mean Min Max Dependent variables – 8th grad test scores CITO 535 501 550 Language 1123 1003 1261 Maths 119 63 160 Reading 56 2 100 26 6 34 IQ Explanatory variables Share immigrants (%) 21 0 96 Classroom characteristics Teacher male 0.57 0 1 Teacher experience 19 0 77 Number of students 25 7 38 Combined class 0.24 0 1 Parental education Father Lower vocational 0.40 0 1 Intermediate vocational 0.32 0 1 Higher education 0.23 0 1 Mother Lower vocational 0.36 0 1 0 1 Intermediate vocational 0.40 Higher education 0.19 0 1 Student characteristics Age student 11 10 20 Cohort 2 0.40 0 1 Cohort 3 0.33 0 1 Students 5614 Girls Mean Min Max 535 1124 117 58 26 500 984 58 14 6 550 1261 160 100 34 21 0 96 0.56 19 25 0.24 0 0 7 0 1 77 38 1 0.40 0.32 0.22 0 0 0 1 1 1 0.38 0.38 0.18 0 0 0 1 1 1 11 0.41 0.33 9 0 0 5586 14 1 1 Note: Due to some missing observations the number of observations on the language, match, reading and IQ tests are somewhat smaller; see also Table 6. 20 21 Education Parents x x x x x x Info Classroom x x x x x x x x x x x x School f.e. 389 370 385 363 6488 5840 5586 5586 4550 Number of Schools Number of Observations 6584 5878 5614 5614 4534 Note: see table 2 for an overview of classroom characteristics and parental education variables; absolute t-values in parentheses; the ** (*) indicate significance at a 5% (10%) level. a. Classroom share immigrant students Share Difference shares th Boys 8 grade 6th -8th grade 1. -4.36 (7.6)** 2. -3.65 (5.8)** 3. -1.46 (2.4)** 4. -1.53 (0.8) 5. -1.53 (0.7) 2.94 (1.5) Girls 1. -6.50 (11.4)** 2. -5.18 (8.2)** 3. -2.70 (4.4)** 4. -1.36 (0.8) 5. -1.07 (0.7) 0.50 (0.3) Table 1: Parameter estimates effects share of immigrant students on CITO-scores 8th grade Table 2: Parameter estimates CITO-score Share immigrants Classroom characteristics Teacher male Teacher experience Number of students Combined class Parental education Father Lower vocational Intermediate vocational Higher education Mother Lower vocational Intermediate vocational Higher education Student characteristics Age student Cohort 2 Cohort 3 Students Classroom -1.53 Boys (0.8) -1.36 Girls (0.8) 0.42 0.03 0.00 0.98 (1.1) (1.4) (0.0) (1.5) 0.16 0.06 -0.08 0.11 (0.4) (0.6) (2.2) (0.2) 0.34 2.81 4.51 (0.5) (4.1)** (6.3)** 2.09 4.42 6.52 (3.3)** (6.5)** (9.1)** 1.29 3.91 6.56 (1.9)* (5.5)** (8.6) 0.23 3.41 5.48 (0.3) (4.9)** (7.3)** -2.68 0.32 -0.90 (12.5)** (1.0) (2.5)** 5614 389 -3.15 -0.68 -1.87 (13.9)** (2.1)** (5.1)** 5586 385 Note: The parameter estimates presented here are the same as in Table 1a, estimates 4; constants are included but not reported; absolute t-values in parentheses; the ** (*) indicate significance at a 5% (10%) level. 22 23 6488 x 5840 -5.66(1.09)*** -5.41(0.98)*** -5.41(0.95)*** -5.18(0.73)*** -3.28(0.71)*** (7) (6) -8.44(0.98)*** -8.33(0.87)*** -6.82(0.87)*** -5.97(0.90)*** -3.07(1.00)*** 5878 -4.65(1.28)*** -5.33(0.95)*** -3.64(0.92)*** -3.15(0.66)*** -1.64(0.72)** (2) 6584 -5.00(1.42)*** -6.22(0.90)*** -5.00(0.76)*** -3.86(0.85)*** -1.63(0.70)** (1) x x 5586 -2.40(1.34)* -2.72(1.20)** -2.71(0.74)*** -1.95(0.68)*** -2.20(0.68)*** (8) 5614 0.12(1.19) -1.06(0.94) -1.74(0.88)** -1.03(0.86) -1.05(0.65) (3) x x x 5586 385 -2.67(1.15)** -1.99(1.05)* -1.86(0.82)** -0.73(0.67) -1.31(0.69)* 5614 389 (9) -0.02(1.15) 0.24(0.95) -0.25(0.72) -0.18(0.72) 0.88(0.76) (4) x x x 3.39(3.14) 2.83(2.52) 0.27(1.51) -1.50(1.96) -0.55(1.45) 4550 363 -2.12(1.26)* -1.82(1.13) -1.96(0.91)** -0.49(0.74) -1.65(0.64)*** -0.78(3.14) -0.01(3.13) 0.91(1.87) 0.98(1.64) 2.73(1.49)* 4534 370 (10) -1.38(1.13) -1.30(1.09) -1.09(0.81) -1.61(0.76)** 0.48(0.84) (5) Note: In this table, spill-over effects of studying with immigrant children are estimated at five of the chosen quantiles. The effects are estimated separately by gender of Dutch students. see table 2 for an overview of classroom characteristics and parental education variables; absolute t-values in parentheses; the ** (*) indicate significance at a 5% (10%) level. Info Classroom Education Parents School f.e. Difference share 6th-8th grade 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Number of students Number of schools Difference share 6th-8th grade 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Number of students Number of schools Girls Share 8thgrade 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Share 8thgrade 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Boys Table 3: Quantile estimates: Effects of the share of immigrant students 24 Low x Info Classroom Education Parents School f.e. -3.43(2.63) -3.53(2.20) -1.72(1.65) -0.98(1.50) -1.93(1.36) High 2.16(2.22) 3.50(1.91)* 0.02(1.45) 0.02(1.45) -0.27(1.31) High Low Low x x 5589 -1.95(1.88) -2.77(1.78) -3.49(1.65)*** -2.98(1.30)** -2.39(1.03)** (5) 5601 -0.95(1.77) -4.01(1.39)*** -3.19(1.43)** -2.42(1.26)* -1.36(1.05) (2) -2.64(2.35) -0.48(2.07) -0.84(1.72) 2.60(1.35)* -0.90(1.52) High 1.47(2.11) 2.54(1.78) 0.16(1.49) -0.13(1.69) 1.64(1.24) High Low Low x x x 5589 385 -2.63(1.72) -3.35(1.70)** -2.65(1.18)** -2.69(0.99)*** -1.98(1.03)* (6) 5601 389 -1.19(1.74) -1.19(1.37) -1.13(1.24) -0.75(1.16) 0.30(1.21) (3) Note: In this table, spill-over effects of studying with immigrant children born from low/highly educated parents are estimated at five of the chosen quantiles. The effects are estimated separately by gender of Dutch students. Parents whose highest qualification is upper secondary or more are considered highly educated. see table 2 for an overview of classroom characteristics and parental education variables; absolute t-values in parentheses; the ** (*) indicate significance at a 5% (10%) level. 6491 -10.91(1.46)*** -13.64(1.24)*** -13.06(1.20)*** -10.70(1.21)*** -7.38(1.28)*** Number of students Number of schools -2.58(2.85) -0.61(1.57) 1.86(1.95) 0.26(1.23) 1.86(1.20) High (4) Girls Share 8thgrade 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Low -10.38(1.72)*** -11.00(1.94)*** -9.54(1.19)*** -7,32(1.12)*** -3,75(1.53)** 6569 6.23(2.60)*** -0.00(2.24) 0.00(1.45) 0.56(1.67) 0.75(1.05) High (1) Number of students Number of schools Share 8thgrade 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Boys Table 4: Quantile estimates: Effects of the share of immigrant students by parental education 25 Second gen x x Second gen -1.35(1.43) -1.81(1.26) -2.34(0.90)*** -1.37(0.76)* -2.15(0.86)** 5589 -8.93(4.72)* -8.32(3.04)*** -3.90(2.16)* -4.54(1.70)*** -2.38(1.84) First gen (5) Second gen 1.22(1.35) -0.59(1.10) -1.02(0.94)** –0.68(0.87)* -0.66(0.76) 5601 -1.12(2.99) -3.87(1.94)** -6.25(2.15)*** -3.72(2.24)* -3.17(1.81)* First gen (2) x x x 5589 385 -11.92(3.56)*** -9,56(2.75)*** -5.55(1.99)*** -2.80(1.74)* -1.34(2.43) First gen (6) 5601 389 -7.26(3.89)* -3.61(2.18)* -5.73(2.13)*** -2.82(2.04) -4.42(1.95)** First gen (3) -0.06(1.44) -0.76(1.02) -0.72(0.95) 0.14(0.76) -1.31(0.79)* Second gen 1.03(1.18) 0.76(1.04) 0.95(0.88) 0.37(0.86) 1.75(0.92)* Second gen Note: In this table, spill-over effects of studying with first/second generation immigrant children are estimated at five of the chosen quantiles. The effects are estimated separately by gender of Dutch students. see table 2 for an overview of classroom characteristics and parental education variables; absolute t-values in parentheses; the ** (*) indicate significance at a 5% (10%) level. x Info Classroom Education Parents School f.e. -7.15(1.18)*** -7.44(1.07)*** -6.78(1.17)*** -5.62(0.95)**** -2.09(1.15)* 6491 -15.81(3.93)*** -13.49(2.96)*** -6.89(2.86)** -6.52(1.72)*** -7.06(2.58)*** Number of students Number of schools 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th First gen (4) Girls Share 8thgrade Second gen -4.62(1.63)*** -5.97(1.10)*** -3.87(0.95)*** -3.67(0.85)*** -1.66(0.71)** 6569 -8.67(3.95)** -9.51(2.46)*** -11.50(2.24)*** -5.33(2.43)** -2.37(2.02) First gen (1) Number of students Number of schools 10th 30th 50th 70th 90th Share 8thgrade Boys Table 5: Quantile estimates: Effects of the share of first/second generation immigrant students 26 CITO test Language test Maths test Reading test IQ test Boys Conditional Number estimate students -1.53 (0.8) 5614 -4.65 (2.3)** 7643 -0.95 (1.4) 7494 -0.73 (0.7) 7609 -0.42 (1.3) 7650 Number schools 389 470 465 468 468 1 s.d. score 9.8 35.1 9.2 16.3 4.4 Unconditional estimate -6.50 (11.4)** -10.86 (6.2)** -4.41 (9.4)** -7.90 (9.6)** -1.69 (7.9)** Girls Conditional Number estimate students -1.36 (0.8) 5586 -1.74 (1.7)* 7609 -1.79 (2.5)** 7367 -3.09 (3.2)** 7551 -0.72 (2.5)** 7577 Number schools 385 464 463 465 462 Note: see table 2 for an overview of classroom characteristics and parental education variables; absolute t-values in parentheses; the ** (*) indicate ignificance at a 5% (10%) level. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Unconditional estimate -4.36 (7.6)** -9.58 (5.4)** -3.24 (6.9)** -5.41 (6.6)** -1.05 (4.7)** Table 6: Parameter estimates: The effects of the share of immigrant students on other educational attainment variables 8th grade 1 s.d. score 9.9 34.6 9.1 16.3 4.2 Figure 1: Distribution shares of immigrant students within the 8th grade a. First-generation immigrants b. Second-generation immigrants c. Total immigrant students 27 Figure 2: Shares of first-generation and second-generation immigrants within the 8th grade 28 Figure 3: Shares of immigrant students and average CITO test scores in the 8th grade a. All immigrant students b. First-generation immigrants c. Second-generation immigrants 29 Figure 4: Shares of immigrant students in the 6th and 8th grade Figure 5: Average CITO-score by share of immigrants in class -> immi8 = 0 -> immi8 = 0 Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min citoeind_8 1553535.4733 9.383 citoeind_8 1553535.4733 9.383 538 Max Max 503 503 550 550 immi8 536 -> immi8 = 1 -> immi8 = 1 Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min citoeind_8 812 535.9815 9.577043 citoeind_8 812 535.9815 9.577043 Average Cito score 534 Max Max 501 501 550 550 532 -> immi8 = 2 -> immi8 = 2 Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min citoeind_8 1433535.0391 9.895114 citoeind_8 1433535.0391 9.895114 500 500 -> immi8 = 3 -> immi8 = 3 Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min citoeind_8 1258535.6677 9.477483 citoeind_8 1258535.6677 9.477483 506 506 -> immi8 = 4 -> immi8 = 4 Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min citoeind_8 736 535.0041 9.248128 citoeind_8 736 535.0041 9.248128 507 507 Max Max 530 528 526 524 520 550 550 0 0.025 0.075 0.125 0.175 0.225 0.275 0.325 0.375 0.425 0.475 0.525 0.575 0.625 0.675 0.725 0.775 0.825 0.875 0.925 0.975 535.4733 535.9815 535.0391 535.6677 535.0041 535.5375 532.5248 531.9546 531.6205 532.188 531.368 531.8715 530.5486 530.103 528.7161 528.1617 529.9572 528.2007 528.3274 526.3055 528.9555 Max Max 550 550 0.025 0.125 0.225 0.325 0.425 0.525 0.625 0.725 0.825 0.925 0 Std.0.075 0.175Max 0.275 0.375 0.475 0.575 0.675 0.775 0.875 0.975 Dev. Min -> immi8 = 5 -> immi8 = 5 Variable Obs Mean Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min citoeind_8 774 535.5375 9.688981 citoeind_8 774 535.5375 9.688981 -> immi8 = 6 -> immi8 = 6 Variable Obs Mean 550 550 Max Max 522 Girls 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Std. Dev. Min Max 506 506 550 550 Max Share of immigrants Girls Boys 30 Figure 6: Comparisons of estimated cumulative distributions by the proportion of immigrant students in the 8th grade classroom a. Boys b. Girls Note: The yellow line shows the cumulative CITO test score distribution of students studying with no immigrant students. The red line indicates the distribution for students studying in a class in which the share of immigrant students is 20 % or more. 31 Figure 7: Comparisons of Kernel Density estimates by the proportion of immigrant students in the 8th grade classroom a. Boys b. Girls Note: The thin line shows the Kernel Density estimates of CITO test scores from students studying with no immigrant students. The thick line indicates the test 32 in which the share of immigrant students score density of students studying in a class is 20 % or more.
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