Tim Malloy, Assistant Director
(203) 645-8043
Rubenstein
Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
FOR RELEASE: OCTOBER 19, 2016
CLINTON TOPS TRUMP BY 7 POINTS,
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
MOST VOTERS SAY MEDIA IS BIASED AGAINST TRUMP
Republican Donald Trump’s lead among men and white voters all but vanishes as Democrat
Hillary Clinton takes a 47 – 40 percent likely voter lead, with 7 percent for Libertarian Party
candidate Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, according to a
Quinnipiac University national poll released today.
This compares to a 45 – 40 percent Clinton lead in an October 7 survey by the
independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Today, men are divided with 43 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton. Women
back Clinton 52 – 37 percent.
White voters go 45 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton, while non-white voters
back Clinton 63 – 25 percent.
In a head-to-head, two-way race, Clinton tops Trump 50 – 44 percent.
The news media is biased against Trump, American likely voters say 55 – 42 percent,
including Republicans 88 – 8 percent and independent voters 61 – 37 percent. Democrats say
77 – 20 percent that the media is not biased.
American likely voters believe 51 – 31 percent that Trump assaulted several women.
Democrats believe it 84 – 5 percent and independent voters believe it 45 – 34 percent.
Republicans don’t believe it 56 – 22 percent.
“Donald Trump made the charge, and American likely voters agree: There IS a media
bias against the GOP contender,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac
University Poll.
“But does that explain his lackluster standing with his core base?”
-more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/October 19, 2016 – page 2
Trump does not have a sense of decency, American likely voters say 59 – 36 percent and
he is not fit to be president, voters say 58 – 38 percent.
Clinton does have a sense of decency, voters say 55 – 42 percent, but they are divided on
whether she is fit to be president, as 47 percent say yes and 49 percent say no.
“Media bias or not, Trump’s character issues have ominous implications,” Malloy said.
“The consensus opinion is that Trump groped women and is neither fit enough nor a decent
enough person to be President.”
From October 17 – 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 likely voters
nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call
landlines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts
public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida,
Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia and the nation as a public
service and for research.
Visit http://www.qu.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
2
1. If the presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans,
Gary Johnson and Bill Weld the Libertarians, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka the Green
party candidates, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more
toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Clinton and Kaine
Trump and Pence
Johnson and Weld
Stein and Baraka
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
Clinton and Kaine
Trump and Pence
Johnson and Weld
Stein and Baraka
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
47%
40
7
1
1
5
7%
80
6
2
1
4
52%
37
4
2
1
4
46%
42
7
1
3
35%
49
9
2
5
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
57%
20
19
2
1
1
36%
49
10
1
3
41%
45
8
1
1
4
63%
25
4
2
5
47%
35
8
3
1
6
91%
4
3
1
2
43%
48
4
1
4
38%
42
11
2
1
6
46%
47
1
1
5
41%
43
10
1
5
45%
42
6
1
1
5
2. If the only candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats and
Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As
of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine or Trump and Pence?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Clinton and Kaine
Trump and Pence
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
Clinton and Kaine
Trump and Pence
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
50%
44
1
6
10%
86
1
4
55%
40
1
4
49%
46
1
4
39%
55
6
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
63%
32
4
40%
55
1
5
44%
50
1
5
65%
28
7
51%
39
1
8
93%
4
3
45%
50
1
4
41%
49
1
8
46%
49
5
44%
48
8
48%
46
1
5
*Results based on total sample, only asked of respondents who did not choose Clinton or
Trump Q1. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q1 assigned to initial preference.
3
3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of
motivation to vote in this year's presidential election; are you more motivated than
usual, less motivated, or about the same as usual?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
More
Less
About the same
DK/NA
More
Less
About the same
DK/NA
53%
17
29
1
56%
21
22
1
55%
15
28
1
54%
13
33
-
52%
20
27
2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
46%
28
26
-
51%
17
32
-
53%
16
30
1
52%
18
30
-
48%
23
30
-
52%
14
34
-
55%
11
33
1
54%
17
29
1
58%
13
27
2
50%
19
30
-
55%
15
28
2
4. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is fit to be President of the United States or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
47%
49
4
11%
86
2
51%
45
5
51%
48
1
36%
59
4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
52%
45
2
41%
58
1
44%
53
3
56%
37
6
50%
47
4
86%
11
3
44%
52
4
41%
56
3
47%
49
4
43%
54
3
47%
49
4
5. Would you say that Donald Trump is fit to be President of the United States or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
38%
58
4
71%
27
3
33%
62
5
40%
58
3
46%
49
5
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
24%
74
2
50%
48
2
43%
54
4
24%
70
6
33%
64
3
4%
93
2
44%
50
5
42%
52
6
41%
53
6
43%
53
4
36%
58
6
4
6. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has a sense of decency or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
55%
42
3
21%
75
5
59%
37
3
52%
46
3
48%
49
3
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
73%
25
2
45%
52
3
50%
47
3
67%
28
5
53%
44
3
92%
7
1
48%
48
4
47%
50
2
53%
44
3
49%
48
3
55%
43
3
7. Would you say that Donald Trump has a sense of decency or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
36%
59
5
64%
31
4
28%
66
6
35%
61
4
43%
51
6
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
24%
76
-
47%
48
4
39%
56
5
28%
66
6
31%
65
4
7%
90
3
41%
52
7
40%
54
6
41%
55
4
45%
51
4
31%
64
5
8. As you may know, there is a recently released tape in which Donald Trump brags about
sexually assaulting women. Trump has since apologized and said that these comments were
simply "locker room talk". In deciding your vote for president, is what Trump said in
that video a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Deal breaker
27%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 35
Not a big deal
35
DK/NA
4
5%
36
59
1
48%
34
11
7
24%
36
38
2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Deal breaker
34%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 47
Not a big deal
19
DK/NA
1
29%
36
33
2
24%
32
38
6
23%
30
42
5
21%
36
41
2
31%
34
29
5
29%
34
33
4
21%
33
43
3
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
20%
34
44
1
25%
33
38
3
31%
37
27
5
30%
32
32
5
5
9. As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made
inappropriate sexual advances towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these
allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald Trump committed these actions,
or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
51%
31
19
22%
56
22
56%
26
18
50%
31
19
45%
37
18
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
64%
20
16
42%
40
18
48%
34
18
61%
22
17
55%
28
17
84%
5
11
44%
37
19
45%
34
21
50%
31
19
44%
37
19
53%
29
19
10. In deciding your vote for president, are the allegations that Donald Trump groped or
made inappropriate sexual advances towards women a deal breaker, a big deal but not a
deal breaker, or not a big deal?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Deal breaker
28%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 34
Not a big deal
33
DK/NA
4
8%
32
59
1
52%
34
10
4
22%
39
33
6
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Deal breaker
46%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 35
Not a big deal
15
DK/NA
4
32%
32
32
4
22%
36
38
4
21%
35
40
4
22%
35
39
4
34%
34
28
4
30%
34
33
3
23%
33
42
3
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
20%
34
43
3
26%
33
37
3
35%
37
23
5
33%
33
32
3
11. Do you think that the news media is biased against Donald Trump or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
Yes/Biased
No/Not biased
DK/NA
Yes/Biased
No/Not biased
DK/NA
55%
42
3
88%
8
4
49%
47
4
51%
45
4
66%
32
2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
WHITE.....
Men
Wom
Wht
NonWht
60%
39
2
66%
32
1
58%
39
3
45%
51
5
51%
48
1
20%
77
3
56%
39
5
61%
37
2
52%
45
3
61%
36
2
51%
45
4
6