land use change and migrant birds in the sahel: research brief 4 Drivers of Land Use Change and Migrant Birds in the Sahel • Land use change in the Sahel is likely to be important factor in the decline of European-African migrant birds, although the links between birds and people are not well understood. • Land use change is the result of the decisions of landholders trying to make a living. Their decisions are the result of a wide range of social and economic processes that are not uniform in space and in time. • A chain of causation goes from macro-scale processes such as the world economy, through immediate drivers on landowners, to the actual decisions they make about how to manage their land, to impact on the ground. These change habitats and directly impact birds. • It is important that the complexity of the drivers of land use change are recognized, or attempts to influence land use to protect bird habitat will be ineffective and perhaps cause harm. • More research is needed into the links between people and birds in the Sahel Introduction The countries of the Sahel, south of the Sahara desert, are amongst the poorest in the world1. The annual rainfall is 2-600mm, falling on a single short season. Farmers and pastoralists in the Sahel adopt diverse livelihoods to cope with variability of rainfall within and between years2. The farmlands, grasslands and woodlands of the Sahel are important for a wide variety of birds that migrate from Europe after breeding3. Many of these Eurasian-African bird migrants are declining in Europe4. These declines are not well understood, but potential causes including changes on breeding grounds, flyways and wintering grounds. Environmental change in the Sahel is widely believed to be an important factor. Rainfall variability is a key driver of environmental change. Another is likely to be anthropogenic land cover change associated with changing economies in Sahelian countries. Our understanding of the drivers of present and future land use change in the Sahel for Afro-Palearctic migrant birds is limited. West Africa and the Sahel While in the Sahel, migrant birds use landscapes actively managed by farmers and livestock keepers. Important bird habitats in the Sahel are shaped by human land use, changing in response to the livelihood needs of landholders and increasing demands for food and other commodities, as well as by human-forced climate change. West Africa is a region of rapid social and economic change. Its population rose from 70 to 318 million from 1950 to 2010, and is projected to double by 2050 to 650 million. Urban population increased from 7 million in 1950 to 140 million in 2010. Population and urban growth have important implications for food security, regional markets and household incomes5. Studies of birds in the Sahel tend to define land cover terms of habitat type6. However, as in Europe, most land in the Sahel is owned, occupied and intensively managed by people. The form of land use and the detailed way in which it is managed profoundly shape the extent and quality of habitat available for migrant birds. The most extensive rural land uses in the Sahel are agriculture and livestock grazing (many households do both, some specialise in livestock, sometimes practicing long-distance movements). Trees and woodland are important resources (particularly fuelwood). Farm, grassland, shrub and wooded environments are the most important for land bird migrants in the Sahel7. Table 1 - Categories in Land use Change Networks Macro-scale drivers Multiple macro-scale drivers of social and economic change in Sahelian countries include: governance (the decisions governments make about economic and social development policy), drought and rainfall variability and agricultural commodity prices. These all influenced by the state of the world economy and political economy. These macro-scale causations are common to all forms of land use. Immediate drivers Macro-scale factors in turn influence more immediate drivers of land use decisions by the owners and occupiers of land in the Sahel, such as: increase in urban wealth, increases in urban population, increase in rural population, increase in wealth of rural households, increased rural-urban migration, increase in urban wealth and economic activity. Land use decisions These drivers in turn influence land use decisions. These include: increased cash cropping, increased mechanization, increased use of farm labour and increased demand for non-food crops. Impacts Land use decisions lead to particular impacts directly relevant to field, grassland or woodland habitats of importance to migrant birds. These include increased cutting of trees and shrubs, increased planting of trees and shrubs, increased creation of new fields, shorter fallow cycles, more or less weeding of farms. Habitat Responses These actions in turn influence habitats important for birds: creation or clearance of closed woodland, reduced woodland tree density, increase or decrease of woody scrub, increase or decrease of trees and scrub on formerly open land, increase or decrease of structural and floristic diversity on open land. land use change and migrant birds in the sahel: research brief 4 of factors associated with the loss of trees and scrub from open land in the Sahel through selected changes in agriculture and grazing. Conclusions Ecological studies of migrants in the Sahel tend not to analyse how land is being managed, or by whom. Sahel migrant bird decline is often attributed to environmental degradation as a result of climate variability, and unsustainable land use associated with human population increases9. This interpretation draws on a stereotyped ‘desertification narrative’10, and ignores the phenomenon of local ‘greening’ of the Sahel11. However, land use change in Sahelian countries is the result of a complex set of drivers that vary in both in space and time. The intrinsic variability in Sahelian rainfall (and new uncertainties about anthropogenic climate change due to CO2) present serious challenges to local people and bird conservationists, and growing food demand from cities and rural areas present difficult policy challenges. Figure 1: Partial Network of Factors of Tree Decline Land Use in the Sahel Land use is the result of a interaction of a wide range of social and economic processes. These are highly variable in both space (between counties, and between ecological regions within countries) and in time (as economic and other drivers change). They also vary with the ethnic identity of landholders, and in response to many aspects of social cultural and political factors. The land use decisions of farmers or livestock-keepers are never the direct result of single driving forces (for example levels of population growth or poverty in West Africa), but reflect the outworking of numerous factors at every scale from the individual through the household and community to the region, country and globe. This makes the exercise of identifying the drivers of land use change in the Sahel difficult. Networks of Causation Understanding of the drivers of land use change must start with the decisions of Sahelian land users and the factors that influence them. Those influences can be thought of as notional chains within wider networks of causation. Using the principles of the ‘PSIR’ (Pressure-State-ImpactResult) framework, a series of categories can be identified that go from macro-scale processes such as the world economy, through immediate drivers on landowners, to the actual decisions they make about how to manage their land (Table 1). In turn these impact on habitats, and drive changes in habitat amount or character. It is these habitat changes that directly impact birds8. The Complexity of Land Use Change An illustration of the complex drivers of land use change is show in Figure 1, which shows a small part of the network Political and economic factors such as the rural impacts of urban wealth and demand and the growth of the regional consumption economy are powerful drivers of land use change. The importance of such factors is likely to increase in future, for example with the policy emphasis on increasing the productivity of Sahelian land for food and biofuels. The Sahel includes Senegal, Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Nigeria, Chad, Sudan, Ethiopia and Eritrea. About 50 million people live in the Sahel 2 Raynaut, C. (1998) Societies and Nature in the Sahel, Routledge, London. 3 Hahn, S., Bauer, S. & Liechti, F. (2009) ‘The natural link between Europe and Africa: 2.1 billion birds on migration’ Oikos, 118 624-626. 4 Hewson, C.M. & Noble, D.G. (2009) ‘Population trends of breeding birds in British woodlands over a 32-year period: relationships with food, habitat and migratory behaviour’, Ibis 151: 464-486; Zwarts, L., Bijlsma, R.G., Kamp, J. van der, Wymenga, E. (2009) Living on the edge: Wetlands and birds in a changing Sahel. KNNV Publishing. 5 West African Futures, Club du Sahel et de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (Clubhttp://www.oecd. org/pages/0,3417,en_38233741_38246608_1_1_1_1_1,00.html) 6 Land Use Change and Migrant Birds in the Sahel (2011) Research Brief 2, Key Habitats for Declining Migrant Birds in the West African Sahel. 7 Land Use Change and Migrant Birds in the Sahel (2011) Research Brief 3, Migrant Birds and Environmental Change in the Sahel. 8 Research Brief 3, see note 7 9 Wilson, J.M. & Cresswell, W. (2006) ‘How robust are Palearctic migrants to habitat loss and degradation in the Sahel?’ Ibis 148: 789-800; Cresswell, W.R.L. et al. (2007) ‘Changes in densities of Sahelian bird species in response to recent habitat degradation’. Ostrich 78: 247-253. 10 Ribot, J. (1999) ‘A history of fear: imagining deforestation in the West African dryland forests’, Global Ecology and Biogeography 8: 291-300; Mortimore, M.J. (1998) Roots in the African Dust: sustaining the subSaharan drylands, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 11 Olson, L., Eklundh, L., and Ardo, J. (2005) ‘A recent greening of the Sahel: trends, patterns and potential causes, Journal of Arid Environments 63: 556-66. 1 These Research Briefs are an output of the project ‘Reversing the declines of African-Palaearctic migrants: understanding the social and economic factors driving land use change in sub-Saharan West African wintering areas’, funded by the CCI Fund and the Newton Trust. Project partners were the British Trust for Ornithology, the Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, and the Departments of Geography and Zoology, University of Cambridge. http://www.geog.cam.ac.uk/research/projects/landusemigrantbirds/
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