The futuristic station at Reading, 25 June 2013. Fraser Pithie BUILDING A RAILWAY FOR THE FUTURE Peter Wilkinson, Director of Rail Franchising, told the RSA that partnership is the key to a successful future Partnership I would like to hear less talk of contracts and franchising, and more about engagement and partnership. As part of this, I want the supply chain to be energised. There are a few big companies at the top of the chain, such as Balfour Beatty and 74 Modern Railways January 2014 Carillion, but many hundreds further down: I want some of those lower down to rise up and become big players. For me, all players are valid ones. Some people talk about tension between franchising and open access. But I think companies such as Hull Trains, Grand Central and Heathrow Express are offering a good service which provides value for money in the eyes of their customers – so there must be something right with that model. In the same way, the freight operating companies (FOCs) offer a valuable service. They eat what they kill and could be considered the most truly private part of the railway. We must ensure Challenges People talk a lot about capacity constraints in our industry. I would say that the railway is not yet full – it is becoming full, but we have some leeway still. As for punctuality, on which there was understandably so much attention because of the post-Hatfield performance shambles, I think now we are in the ballpark of where we need to be. I don’t think Government should be in the business of buying a lot more improvement in the punctuality and performance of railways that are CAR OWNERSHIP DEMOGRAPHIC 70 60 Percentage proportion of households without a car F ranchising has changed the face of Britain’s railways. As we consider the character of franchising going forward, it is important to be clear about what it has, and hasn’t, achieved. The railways have enjoyed a lengthy period of passenger growth since privatisation in the mid 1990s. But I don’t put this entirely down to privatisation – rather, it is a reflection of the sharper market focus provided by privately run train operating companies (TOCs) leveraging the benefits provided by a period of sustained economic boom between 1998 and 2008. But what we have also seen in that period is a large increase in levels of passenger satisfaction – and I believe that is down to franchising. I think the TOCs should be complimented for what they have achieved in customer service. The growth in demand has brought challenges about how we accommodate all the extra people who want to travel by train. We have witnessed investment rise in the railways as a response. Is that a result of franchising? Not really. Franchises have largely been treated as facilities in which capital has played the lesser part – something which is not the fault of the TOCs, but is a reflection on the design of the franchising model. This is one of the flaws that I would like to correct. that policies for the passenger railway don’t mean the FOCs wither on the vine – they are a vital part of the industry. As for Government, I want to see clarity in what we are trying to procure and efficiency in our procurement methods. 50 40 30 20 10 0 Working-age couples with children Working-age couples without children Pensioner couples Working-age singles without children Working-age singles with children Single pensioner www.modern-railways.com FUNDING BRITAIN’S RAILWAYS Net cost to Government per passenger mile (p) Ratio of taxpayer to farepayer funding (%) Long distance 7.3p 25 : 75 London and South East 4.8 19 : 81 Regional 31.1 61 : 39 www.modern-railways.com Speed I am an apostle for speed. The rail industry seems to have lost its way on this. Think: how often do you sit at junctions or wait to get into stations? We need to achieve far greater efficiency in the timetable and speed has a part to play in this. I want the agenda to return to speed, as it provides for ambition. Also, speed means capacity. Speed everything up and you turn the trains round more quickly and get another diagram in. So on our great inter-city main lines, the Great Western, West and East Coasts, I want to see lots of 125mph running. And why not on other routes too, such as the Midland main line, the Southampton line and trans-Pennine? There is a commercial rationale for it. In 2017 we shall start receiving Inter-city Express Programme trains – they will be capable of 140mph. We should aim to exploit that capability. I also want to see the speeding up of regional trains, there is a real case for this. Imagine if it didn’t take you five hours to get from Peterborough to Liverpool by train! Timetable We need a re-think about the timing of Britain’s railways to benefit existing passengers and attract new markets onto rail, in particular the cardominated non-central-London market. We need: n reduced journey times, from improved connections and new fast long distance expresses timed to maximise the potential of the existing infrastructure; n increased frequencies, especially at busier times; This will mean some investment in infrastructure, driven by the requirements of the timetable, to allow cross-platform interchange to take place at stations where the existing track layout does not allow this. Imagine if we rethought our approach to the timetable, so that the Public Performance Measure documented not only arrival times, as it does now, but also efficiency of connections. This would change the game – we could aim for a Swiss-style timetable, with cross-platform connections. A standardised, repeatable and symmetric timetable is what is needed. Network Rail and DfT will be working with operators to examine the opportunities that such a re-think might provide and we could pilot this through a forthcoming franchise competition. Funding Since privatisation, there has been revenue growth of £2.3billion (mostly from increased passenger numbers rather than higher fares). This increase has been more than offset by three factors: n a £1.7billion increase in train operating costs, which have grown in tandem with the growth of passenger numbers; n £1.5billion extra cost associated with funding Network Rail’s regulatory asset base (its borrowing to finance capital projects); and n £0.5billion in additional rolling stock charges, again reflecting increased demand. We have, however, reached the point where the operating railway is paying for itself. It is infrastructure provision that requires subsidy – and RAIL SUBSIDY (2011/12 PRICES) 7.48 8 7 4.16 3.9 2010-11 2011-12 4.79 2004-05 5.09 5.67 4.73 3.46 2.51 2.03 1.68 2.3 3.25 1996-97 2.73 3.55 3.3 1995-96 1.6 2.18 2 2.74 2.79 3 1994-95 3.71 4 2003-04 5 1 5.76 6 6 2009-10 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 1999-00 1998-99 1997-98 1993-94 1992-93 1991-92 1990-91 0 1989-90 Growth We can expect further growth in both freight and passenger traffic. Anyone who suggests capacity should be reserved for passengers should remember that if we constrain rail freight artificially, freight will end up on the roads and we will notice the difference with extra traffic congestion. Big companies such as Amazon, e-Bay and Tesco are already worried about congestion and looking to reserve land next to railway lines in preparation for a shift to rail distribution. Remember parcel bays? We might need them again. Some logistics companies are looking at ways of flattening seats in passenger vehicles so that they could carry merchandise in the off peak. It is an interesting idea. I want the railway industry to get ahead of the curve and use the available passenger train capacity in the off-peak to innovate and contemplate serving the same day and overnight parcels market, using stations and infrastructure where sensible to achieve this. Passenger traffic too can be expected to go on growing. The last few years have witnessed a divorce between GDP and passenger demand: the economy has been in trouble, but the line on the passenger graph has kept going up. Why is that? One factor is that people in their twenties and thirties are moving to metropolitan areas and not buying cars – they are planning their lives around public transport. We don’t see that happening to the same extent in Continental Europe, where the cities are often not as dense as those in the UK and where people may be keen to support domestic car manufacturers. Another factor is the high cost of housing in the UK. People are prepared to commute long distances by train in order to be able to buy cheaper houses. £ Billions already achieving exemplary levels of performance. Rather we should target investment on those areas that need to reach these levels, including the infrastructure– we really do need to stop the wires falling down. But on the operating side we have largely achieved our goals. Incidentally, I have no problem with companies making sensible profits out of running the railway. Profits are what motivate firms and it is through profits we create the capacity to employ people and invest. There should not be super-profits but make no mistake, sensible profit is good for rail, good for passengers, good for government and taxpayers. I want to see sensible earnings, rewarding effort. Another important question concerns the skill base. In the next five to ten years, most of the exBritish Rail trained technical and engineering people will have left the industry. We have to have a plan on where we are going to get skills commensurate with our future needs. We have to keep up investment, recognising the role the railways play in powering our economy. We have to keep abreast of technological developments and foster innovation. And we have to play our part in building a sustainable economy that respects the environment. n an opportunity to take a fresh look at overlooked markets that could be served by rail such as non-London routes where current road flows are strong; n greater flexibility to tailor supply to demand, thereby avoiding unnecessary costs by providing a consistent, regular and symmetric service pattern, seven days a week, from start to finish of service; n improved service recovery; n opportunities to expand the freight market; n increased access to the infrastructure for maintenance and a reduced need for disruptive engineering work. Financial Year January 2014 Modern Railways 75 Will we see the railways playing a larger role in small consignment freight delivery? Just over a year ago, a trial night service ran into London using the former Great Western motorail vans. Here No 86701 is seen at the head of working 4Z86 from Rugby to Euston after arrival at its destination on 1 November 2012. Guy Houston that is right and proper, as this is providing for the nation’s future transport needs. The rail industry received £1.3billion of ‘other income’ in 2011-12, an increase of 5.1% compared to 2010-11: ntrain operators received £0.7billion from car parking, property rental, catering and other sales. nNetwork Rail received £0.6billion from its stations and property portfolio, and charges to freight and open access train operators. There has been a big increase in the amount that the passenger is putting into the railway vis à vis the taxpayer, as a result of a policy of above inflation fare rises. Now passengers are funding 60% of the industry’s costs. Sustainability I firmly believe sustainability is fundamental to rail’s long term success. It must be embedded throughout the industry: it’s a core requirement, not an optional extra. We want ambitious, innovative proposals in bids coming into the Department to deliver environmental improvements, support economic growth and bring communities together. WHERE THE MONEY GOES PASSENGERS GOVERNMENT OTHER Fare income: £7.2bn (58%) Net funding: £4.0bn (32%) Other income: £1.3bn (10%) Community Rail Partnerships are worthy of mention. CRPs are not of marginal importance: they are providing real service and deserve to be supported. There are today over 50 CRPs putting real money, real people-power and real innovation into rail. CRPs have re-opened local rail services and transformed long decaying assets into vital community resources. Take Accrington station for instance: a superb station rebuilding project that has used local materials to produce a truly ‘green’ building. Or the work at Huddersfield, where a solar panel has been installed on the roof of the old water tower, providing power for the station. I want more of this GOVERNMENT FUNDING AS PERCENTAG 32% GB total INDUSTRY INCOME AND SUBSIDY: £12.5BN England INDUSTRY EXPENDITURE: £11.6BN Scotland -3% FRANCHISED RAIL INDUSTRY 31% Network Rail + franchised train operators NETWORK INFRASTRUCTURE Operating costs Financing costs Amortisation of capex 76 £2.5bn £1.5bn £1.7bn £5.7bn (49%) Modern Railways January 2014 Wales TRAIN OPERATORS Staff costs Rolling stock costs Other costs £2.2bn £1.5bn £2.2bn £5.9bn (51%) 24% -10 18% 0 10 20 Government funding as a www.modern-railways.com Reshaping the Government’s approach When we look at the current system of franchising, we have to ask, where is the passenger in all this? Or the workforce? We have tended to think that one franchising model fits all, there has been little sense of ‘partnership’. Government all too often over-specified the railway: there has been lots of ‘tell’, with little ‘ask’ and an air of ‘we know best’. The franchising system has been unable to react to changing markets and has not created conditions that foster innovation or investment. There has been little sense of ‘local’, with too much detail specification from the centre. We must change all this. The passenger must be at the centre of every aspect of design and the workforce properly supported. I want less ‘tell’ and more ‘ask’. We need contractual relationships fit for the specific railway circumstances. Real innovation needs to be properly recognised in bids. There is scope for new alliances and partnerships and we need to localise the railway. Thinking out of the box We need a far more pro-active approach to innovation. For example, instead of the barriers being shut until your ticket opens them, why not have them open and only close if you don’t present your ticket? Such a system already works in Japan. Are there other approaches to Revenue Protection we could take which don’t get in the way of people encumbered with luggage and small children? Partnership We need a new kind of partnership – at all levels, across all interfaces – between workforce and passengers, DfT and the industry, industry and the supply chain. The workforce has a big part to play in moving the industry forward, and that includes the trade unions. I celebrate the fact that we have characters like Bob Crow of the RMT union on the railway, you need people like him to challenge the conventional wisdom – they are not always wrong. What the GE OF TOTAL INCOME RAIL FARES HAVE INCREASED BY MORE THAN INFLATION 160 –– All other tickets –– Season ticket –– Inflation (RPI) 140 Amount (£) sort of thing: I don’t believe the big companies have all the answers. 120 100 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 unions have to do is recognise that the world is changing, and they should be thinking ahead to where we will be in 20 years’ time. I am in favour of setting up company stakeholder boards, with union representatives on those boards, as they have in Germany and elsewhere. I also want an end to ‘them’ and ‘us’. With the TOCs and Network Rail, it often seems as if one side is competing with the other to get one over the other lot. Delay attribution has become a mini-industry in its own right. Delay attribution has a place (I think we could do with a bit more delay attribution in the operation of airports to incentivise people) but there are limits. That is why I am in favour of partnership developments such as the Wessex alliance. I also would like to say a word on behalf of the civil servants in the Department, who I think are often unfairly lambasted. Civil servants have put in a lot of work to move this industry forward: for 2009 2010 2011 2012 example in March this year we published an eightyear programme of franchising that features high levels of investment. This investment is justified by business cases developed by civil servants in the Department. People across all facets of the industry have much to offer. If we all pull together we can make a success of the railways. Details of Association Membership can be found on page 14. Hear the speakers, ask the questions and then read all about it in Modern Railways WHERE THE MONEY COMES FROM GOVERNMENT FUNDING OF INFRASTRUCTURE £3.9BN PASSENGER INCOME £7.2BN 32% 28% 37% 61% NET GOVERNMENT FUNDING OF TRAIN OPERATORS £0.1BN 39% 30 57% 40 50 60 a percentage of total income www.modern-railways.com OTHER NETWORK RAIL INCOME (STATIONS, PROPERTY ETC) £0.6BN 70 OTHER TRAIN OPERATORS INCOME (CAR PARKING, PROPERTY RENTAL, CATERING ETC) £0.7BN January 2014 Modern Railways 77
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